@barbica

#2,801,63314

0xb3f9ebea4d08c80241dce0378e4b109775c99adb

~16d· 66 markets · 166 tradesVol: $6,3372026-08-05 03:23:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (22/66)1.7/20
0.48x (win $263 / loss $548)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.0400/15
Sortino -8.1240/10
$-0.2499 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 338 (66 markets)10/10
6/16 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($284 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#292,997$-284Vol: $5,590
⚽ SPORTS#1,618,371$-60Vol: $748

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-344
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,337
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
123B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
22W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-344
Win Rate
33%
22W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $135 (0.3933021580644225% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?$85
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18?$27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on December 18?$23
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 16?$19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on December 27?$14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on December 15?$13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 21?$12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 19?$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 21?$9
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 22?$7

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on December 15?$-87
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on December 19?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on December 15?$-38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 22?$-26
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 19?$-25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on December 19?$-21
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 29?$-20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on December 19?$-18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 24?$-17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 20?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.407
Sortino
-0.490
HHI
301
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.250
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
27.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 688s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.3%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)22%

Sessions

#12
12/15/2025, 9:04:51 PM3 trades$1242 min
12/16/2025, 11:54:41 AM3 trades$845 min
12/21/2025, 3:06:51 PM2 trades$782 min
12/16/2025, 8:41:03 AM2 trades$670 min
12/21/2025, 10:41:39 AM4 trades$525 min
12/23/2025, 11:23:01 PM3 trades$522 min
12/16/2025, 11:17:19 AM1 trades$500 min
12/21/2025, 12:23:21 PM2 trades$474 min
12/23/2025, 8:55:39 PM2 trades$451 min
12/18/2025, 7:38:47 PM1 trades$430 min
12/19/2025, 11:46:30 AM4 trades$434 min
12/18/2025, 5:07:41 PM1 trades$410 min
12/18/2025, 11:10:37 PM2 trades$402 min
12/27/2025, 4:19:29 PM1 trades$390 min
12/28/2025, 8:36:53 PM1 trades$330 min
12/15/2025, 7:12:19 PM1 trades$300 min
12/15/2025, 7:20:57 PM1 trades$300 min
12/18/2025, 10:22:46 AM3 trades$304 min
12/21/2025, 11:42:25 AM1 trades$300 min
12/21/2025, 4:06:07 PM1 trades$270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-14
12-16
12-18
12-20
12-22
12-24
12-27
12-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.52/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.3 / M31.7 / H22