@Poligarch

#1,10627

0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9

~258d· 9075 markets · 970798 tradesVol: $26,173,4412026-08-03 15:43:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (4372/9056)9.1/20
1.00x (win $40,226 / loss $40,213)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0040.1/15
Sortino 0.0050.1/10
$+0.0001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 18 (9056 markets)10/10
131/248 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($4,548 / $3,863)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+182,065
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Whale
$163,347 invested
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#6$85,321Vol: $14,556,810
🏛️ POLITICS#832$61,394Vol: $6,106,839
🎭 CULTURE#823$10,113Vol: $2,016,145
💰 FINANCE#1,109$4,843Vol: $1,197,878
📢 MENTIONS#190$9,901Vol: $823,994
SPORTS#1,803,005$-581Vol: $715,259
📈 ECONOMICS#2,292$1,572Vol: $161,457
💻 TECH#832$2,032Vol: $148,156
CRYPTO#22,262$1,758Vol: $63,024

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$183,800
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,173,441
Total Redeem
$17,454
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9075
total markets
Trades
19160B / 280S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~258d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,015
Vol: $72,351
Week
$1,015
Vol: $154,950
Month
$2,319
Vol: $250,487
All Time
$183,800
Vol: $26,173,441

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
13110W / 10321L events
Realized PnL
$182,065
Win Rate
56%
13110W / 10321L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,306 (0.018158427975190444% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,355
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$500
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$451
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$449
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?$407
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$398
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$365
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$342
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$340
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$314

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,791
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5?$-1,176
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-530
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$-420
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-397
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$-364
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-330
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-271
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-263
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$-251

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1981.2
Very active
Markets / Day
18.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.5m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 364s — normal for humanCV 3.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1981 trades/day — automation19 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)38.8%
High (>55c)42%

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 8:42:27 AM2 trades$2,3563 min
2/27/2026, 6:30:57 PM4 trades$1,9785 min
5/20/2026, 5:03:17 PM2 trades$1,8000 min
2/8/2026, 10:36:21 PM48 trades$1,56753 min
3/5/2026, 2:58:29 PM1 trades$1,1760 min
6/7/2026, 7:48:04 PM14 trades$1,03815 min
5/16/2026, 10:25:32 PM17 trades$87019 min
6/16/2026, 8:31:18 AM2 trades$8590 min
6/19/2026, 8:16:04 PM14 trades$85113 min
5/15/2026, 6:09:26 PM6 trades$63310 min
2/9/2026, 12:51:05 AM24 trades$63221 min
6/3/2026, 2:41:48 PM1 trades$6240 min
2/8/2026, 9:28:57 PM14 trades$60925 min
2/8/2026, 8:30:01 PM31 trades$59542 min
6/19/2026, 8:41:22 PM15 trades$57320 min
5/28/2026, 7:51:54 PM6 trades$55013 min
2/8/2026, 10:05:09 PM21 trades$54123 min
6/19/2026, 11:50:32 PM15 trades$53818 min
6/14/2026, 11:02:33 PM2 trades$5312 min
2/9/2026, 1:25:11 AM13 trades$51218 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-01
01-04
02-14
03-27
05-09
06-20
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M38.8 / H42