@ChaosStake
#2,981,270330xb4272557ce308c7182fc48b4d6716b744e8e4c62
~38d· 540 markets · 7324 tradesVol: $268,7272026-08-04 23:42:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
66% (354/540)17.8/20
0.76x (win $10,738 / loss $14,141)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0970/15
Sortino -4.3700/10
$-0.0404 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 65 (540 markets)10/10
19/38 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 863% of peak ($4,391 / $509)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 66%
DCA Master
Avg 13.6 entries/market
Whale
$84,202 invested
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#298,674$-1,997Vol: $220,950
💰 FINANCE#9,866$288Vol: $47,377
📈 ECONOMICS#45,427$9Vol: $400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,700
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$268,727
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
540
total markets
Trades
3186B / 4138S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Today
$-24
Vol: $10,454
Week
$-82
Vol: $17,003
Month
$-38
Vol: $23,300
All Time
$-1,700
Vol: $268,727
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
66%
354W / 185L events
Realized PnL
$-1,700
Win Rate
66%
354W / 185L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-86
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,552 (0.9129823446701613% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?$523
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 5?$522
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?$508
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?$381
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9?$345
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$318
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?$249
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?$229
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?$212
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16?$211
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?$-1,563
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?$-722
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?$-700
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 4?$-640
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 21?$-608
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?$-488
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?$-416
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$-378
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?$-356
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?$-346
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.212
Sortino
-0.204
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
10.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
86.2
Very active
Markets / Day
6.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock86 trades/day — mass trading6.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)70.4%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 3:23:37 PM105 trades$4,50111 min
6/17/2026, 4:18:59 PM115 trades$3,84316 min
6/10/2026, 5:12:51 PM68 trades$2,5879 min
6/11/2026, 3:54:19 PM110 trades$2,38932 min
6/18/2026, 7:04:31 AM55 trades$2,28312 min
6/20/2026, 2:53:01 AM48 trades$2,11015 min
6/12/2026, 12:24:15 PM44 trades$1,71910 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:07 AM53 trades$1,6929 min
6/18/2026, 3:31:07 AM23 trades$1,4611 min
6/9/2026, 4:18:39 PM71 trades$1,2343 min
6/20/2026, 1:36:43 AM20 trades$1,1861 min
5/12/2026, 10:42:04 AM10 trades$1,11611 min
6/16/2026, 12:19:52 PM37 trades$1,1151 min
6/20/2026, 4:16:50 PM23 trades$1,0131 min
6/25/2026, 3:19:44 PM7 trades$9761 min
6/18/2026, 8:14:58 AM55 trades$9572 min
6/21/2026, 12:48:23 PM40 trades$8792 min
6/20/2026, 12:32:22 PM18 trades$8311 min
6/21/2026, 9:05:07 AM13 trades$8310 min
6/9/2026, 9:57:28 AM6 trades$7902 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-29
06-10
06-16
06-23
07-24
07-31
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
78% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M22.6 / H70.4