@TXgraypillow

#406,03742

0xb4473125fe82ce9bfa86f22c2e24c958e64b878c

~38d· 135 markets · 273 tradesVol: $2,7902026-08-05 16:35:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (73/88)20/20
0.99x (win $61 / loss $62)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0510/15
Sortino -0.0750/10
$-0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 339 (88 markets)10/10
19/26 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 102% of peak ($28 / $27)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+22
Consistent
19/26 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,340,109$-15Vol: $1,145
CRYPTO#221,493$12Vol: $741
💰 FINANCE#38,238$23Vol: $481
🎭 CULTURE#121,074$2Vol: $167
📈 ECONOMICS#549,108$-3Vol: $94
📢 MENTIONS#30,386$3Vol: $69
💻 TECH#53,211$1Vol: $51
🌤️ WEATHER#164,551$-0Vol: $34
SPORTS#468,060$0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,790
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
135
total markets
Trades
162B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$22
Vol: $2,790

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
73W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$22
Win Rate
83%
73W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (1.5360871538810714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?$5
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$2
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?$1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?$1
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$-25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-8
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-8
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$-8
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-7
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$-3
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$-1
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.003
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
278
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
26.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1578s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.95
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)97.5%

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 9:14:47 AM1 trades$1810 min
3/27/2026, 10:00:53 PM1 trades$1430 min
6/15/2026, 8:40:13 AM1 trades$740 min
3/27/2026, 5:04:27 AM5 trades$676 min
5/7/2026, 5:14:51 AM1 trades$420 min
3/22/2026, 2:55:39 PM1 trades$290 min
2/28/2026, 6:11:23 AM3 trades$254 min
3/29/2026, 3:11:46 AM1 trades$250 min
3/23/2026, 11:06:31 AM1 trades$250 min
2/27/2026, 11:00:23 PM3 trades$243 min
2/26/2026, 7:59:04 AM3 trades$246 min
3/27/2026, 7:59:03 AM1 trades$240 min
3/29/2026, 2:11:24 PM2 trades$242 min
2/26/2026, 11:31:36 AM3 trades$236 min
3/29/2026, 8:41:56 AM3 trades$217 min
3/14/2026, 2:20:37 AM1 trades$170 min
4/2/2026, 5:57:35 AM2 trades$170 min
4/2/2026, 6:17:09 AM4 trades$172 min
2/26/2026, 11:07:38 AM2 trades$173 min
2/25/2026, 5:01:48 AM2 trades$163 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
02-28
03-06
03-16
03-22
03-29
04-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M0.6 / H97.5