@0xB4BA5C…0634

#2,892,28830

0xb4ba5ca84e9b4818566792ac3a7c4d0cb6a04ced

~38d· 90 markets · 588 tradesVol: $38,1602026-08-04 19:00:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (40/68)14.4/20
0.65x (win $3,502 / loss $5,350)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4320/15
Sortino -2.9020/10
$-0.1104 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 750 (68 markets)8.7/10
15/27 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 6901% of peak ($2,909 / $42)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,013$-1,450Vol: $26,872
📈 ECONOMICS#5,850$355Vol: $6,737
⚽ SPORTS#62,607$405Vol: $3,569
🎭 CULTURE#40,854$29Vol: $557
₿ CRYPTO#236,537$10Vol: $195
💰 FINANCE#97,120$3Vol: $129
💻 TECH#246,937$-73Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-721
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,160
Total Redeem
$57
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
220B / 368S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$15
Vol: $0
Week
$78
Vol: $0
Month
$125
Vol: $0
All Time
$-721
Vol: $38,160

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
39W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-721
Win Rate
58%
39W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-297

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,009 (2.7860817951100447% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,317
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$522
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$170
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$167
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$116
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?$109
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$104
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$94
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by June 30?$90
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?$86

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-978
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$-723
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-663
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$-653
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-444
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?$-400
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-400
Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$-232
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$-217
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-160

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.125
Sortino
-0.116
HHI
692
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19%
Top-5 markets
47.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 473s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)65.5%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 5:15:28 PM21 trades$2,5910 min
6/9/2026, 6:01:09 PM43 trades$2,00015 min
6/16/2026, 5:18:23 PM2 trades$1,9370 min
6/12/2026, 3:52:57 PM17 trades$1,4905 min
6/5/2026, 8:24:19 PM26 trades$1,3333 min
6/3/2026, 9:54:52 PM14 trades$1,2312 min
6/13/2026, 6:53:30 AM8 trades$1,1793 min
6/1/2026, 8:06:26 PM6 trades$9000 min
5/13/2026, 2:12:54 PM5 trades$8577 min
6/21/2026, 5:41:17 PM13 trades$79214 min
6/6/2026, 5:39:13 PM12 trades$7652 min
6/10/2026, 2:32:33 PM6 trades$7384 min
6/24/2026, 4:44:07 PM6 trades$7090 min
7/1/2026, 6:31:23 PM8 trades$6564 min
6/12/2026, 6:43:58 PM10 trades$5710 min
7/1/2026, 2:18:58 PM9 trades$5460 min
7/1/2026, 7:43:07 PM6 trades$5205 min
7/10/2026, 2:51:23 PM7 trades$5152 min
5/13/2026, 1:49:28 PM11 trades$5134 min
6/30/2026, 5:24:47 PM6 trades$48613 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
05-11
06-10
06-16
06-23
07-01
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.8 / M27.7 / H65.5