@Kettle
750xb4f2310271b208f35b543bde10522db44cf67851
~155d· 519 markets · 14136 trades2026-08-04 14:06:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (250/514)9.3/20
2.02x (win $284,701 / loss $141,167)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.51615/15
Sortino 4.96910/10
$+0.0642 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 230 (514 markets)10/10
67/110 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($66,758 / $143,534)4.7/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+152,978
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 27.1 entries/market
Whale
$2,235,260 invested
Consistent
67/110 profitable days
High Roller
$3,763/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders
Categories
6🎭 CULTURE#8,513$444Vol: $684,958
📈 ECONOMICS#683,045$-24,775Vol: $529,280
₿ CRYPTO#17,480$2,480Vol: $456,249
💻 TECH#223$9,387Vol: $354,229
💰 FINANCE#238$19,510Vol: $112,775
📢 MENTIONS#411$4,144Vol: $10,651
Overview
#1Net PnL
$152,978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,235,260
Total Redeem
$151,668
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
519
total markets
Trades
9489B / 4647S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~155d
Periods
#2Today
$-491
Vol: $0
Week
$-589
Vol: $29,399
Month
$616
Vol: $29,399
All Time
$152,978
Vol: $0
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
250W / 264L events
Realized PnL
$152,978
Win Rate
49%
250W / 264L
Profit Factor
2.02x
Avg Win
$1,139
Avg Loss
$-596
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $102,440 (0.6696416314741781% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$47,185
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$31,010
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$24,245
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$12,849
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12,191
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$10,417
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10,411
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10,268
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10,228
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$9,346
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-35,696
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-31,513
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$-9,560
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-8,360
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-5,108
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-4,254
US government shutdown Saturday?$-4,213
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-4,198
Nuggets vs. Suns$-4,157
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-3,941
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.131
Sortino
0.174
HHI
202
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
20.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
23.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.4
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 8.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)76.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)18.8%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 10:52:11 PM96 trades$158,15026 min
5/22/2026, 9:39:25 PM49 trades$94,5589 min
3/16/2026, 4:02:57 PM1 trades$73,1410 min
4/7/2026, 11:37:25 PM20 trades$69,0746 min
3/4/2026, 2:50:01 AM15 trades$68,3573 min
5/22/2026, 1:42:51 PM26 trades$59,1220 min
2/28/2026, 9:21:31 PM14 trades$59,0911 min
7/15/2026, 2:43:23 PM43 trades$52,1480 min
11/28/2025, 7:56:19 PM2 trades$48,7480 min
6/3/2025, 11:09:32 AM1 trades$46,8020 min
5/31/2025, 11:20:11 AM1 trades$46,5680 min
3/20/2025, 6:34:01 PM1 trades$42,2730 min
12/21/2024, 5:55:28 PM35 trades$39,21547 min
1/17/2026, 11:53:52 PM4 trades$35,7432 min
4/14/2026, 6:21:54 PM14 trades$34,7740 min
6/11/2026, 5:49:48 PM34 trades$33,57915 min
3/16/2026, 2:39:33 AM68 trades$33,2873 min
5/22/2026, 3:15:49 PM2 trades$33,2530 min
1/20/2025, 2:47:13 AM1 trades$33,0720 min
1/20/2025, 1:40:31 AM3 trades$33,0301 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
01-04
01-28
06-28
12-31
03-05
06-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.9 / M4.3 / H18.8