@monkeybox

#3,001,0317

0xb521a776449c87c1f59da4ec0c0a214fe9e418f6

~66d· 52 markets · 541 tradesVol: $533,9282026-08-04 23:04:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (10/50)0/20
0.47x (win $2,086 / loss $4,400)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0800/15
Sortino -4.9480/10
$-0.3959 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1149 (50 markets)6.8/10
7/37 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,625 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#679,914$-1,305Vol: $449,228
🏛️ POLITICS#1,611,480$-839Vol: $56,360
💻 TECH#234,220$-18Vol: $11,916
⚽ SPORTS#147,181$65Vol: $10,364
₿ CRYPTO#997,921$-4Vol: $5,315
📢 MENTIONS#154,178$-42Vol: $295
💰 FINANCE#415,345$-0Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$533,928
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
241B / 300S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-78
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,128
Vol: $533,928

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
10W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-2,128
Win Rate
20%
10W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$209
Avg Loss
$-116

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,046 (0.9616035421190671% of PnL)

Top Winners

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$1,880
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$143
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$23
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,500 on March 8?$6
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?$2
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?$1
Bulls vs. Rockets$1
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0

Top Losers

Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-1,021
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-645
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-438
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$-258
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-254
Netanyahu out by July 31?$-227
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-195
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-181
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-170
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-151

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.159
Sortino
-0.267
HHI
1242
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.338
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.6%
Top-5 markets
63.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 310s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)12.9%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 1:17:11 AM5 trades$3,0161 min
5/13/2026, 12:53:40 AM14 trades$2,6853 min
7/7/2026, 1:56:37 PM13 trades$2,6640 min
6/7/2026, 11:10:22 PM7 trades$2,2361 min
6/5/2026, 6:35:58 PM2 trades$2,1740 min
7/3/2026, 1:35:41 AM17 trades$2,1440 min
6/1/2026, 11:38:21 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/6/2026, 12:26:47 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/24/2026, 9:31:15 AM9 trades$1,5570 min
6/13/2026, 8:03:25 AM21 trades$1,1950 min
6/5/2026, 5:58:09 PM21 trades$1,0783 min
6/5/2026, 6:41:31 PM7 trades$1,0750 min
7/16/2026, 9:38:53 AM17 trades$9561 min
5/21/2026, 12:59:32 PM8 trades$9224 min
6/26/2026, 2:26:17 PM6 trades$8410 min
1/24/2026, 5:12:24 PM4 trades$6004 min
4/24/2026, 10:19:26 PM28 trades$5240 min
4/15/2026, 10:56:44 PM17 trades$5104 min
4/19/2026, 7:15:22 PM18 trades$4851 min
7/28/2026, 11:13:58 AM7 trades$3920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
01-16
03-09
04-28
06-10
07-05
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.7 / M7.5 / H12.9