@0xb56b…28db

37

0xb56bf677ad92278e4e810fb4f085ccbb402228db

~88d· 145 markets · 1012 trades2026-08-04 21:48:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (37/145)0/20
1.11x (win $11,979 / loss $10,745)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4568.5/15
Sortino 1.01110/10
$+0.0679 per $1 invested3.4/10
HHI 311 (145 markets)10/10
27/77 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($7,513 / $8,748)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+447
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$447
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,192
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
145
total markets
Trades
360B / 652S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
37W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$447
Win Rate
26%
37W / 108L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$324
Avg Loss
$-106

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,331 (18.642639752942756% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$4,325
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$2,267
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?$1,738
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$851
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$681
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$529
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$348
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$232
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$205
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$144

Top Losers

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-1,011
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$-843
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-441
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-430
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$-400
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-400
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$-400
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-400
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-360
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-344

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.049
HHI
428
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
38.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
55.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3302s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.05
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.1%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 6:48:12 PM6 trades$3,7730 min
5/4/2026, 3:26:02 PM60 trades$3,4872 min
6/21/2026, 3:38:23 PM5 trades$3,1250 min
6/18/2026, 3:22:14 AM10 trades$2,6507 min
4/23/2026, 4:38:14 PM18 trades$1,7840 min
6/20/2026, 9:15:40 AM14 trades$1,4260 min
6/26/2026, 10:41:52 PM3 trades$1,3790 min
6/21/2026, 3:53:59 AM2 trades$1,2000 min
4/4/2026, 5:26:57 AM5 trades$1,1780 min
6/21/2026, 4:30:47 PM30 trades$1,1762 min
6/26/2026, 11:23:23 PM6 trades$1,1190 min
5/2/2026, 4:18:34 PM13 trades$1,1080 min
5/24/2026, 4:52:30 PM5 trades$1,0740 min
4/25/2026, 5:13:38 PM17 trades$9990 min
4/24/2026, 3:47:24 AM27 trades$9712 min
5/23/2026, 11:27:15 AM4 trades$9660 min
4/24/2026, 2:26:50 AM29 trades$9600 min
6/19/2026, 12:57:28 AM2 trades$9520 min
4/27/2026, 10:31:38 AM19 trades$9380 min
5/2/2026, 7:40:24 AM6 trades$9340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
02-25
03-12
03-30
05-02
06-12
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.05/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.6 / M8.1 / H33.3