@Insight314

#2,696,57924

0xb57d496694ea03ec4a1173a074b2f13150795bc1

~38d· 48 markets · 310 tradesVol: $7,4332026-08-04 20:40:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (15/30)10/20
0.70x (win $535 / loss $770)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7970/15
Sortino -2.0010/10
$-0.0665 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 940 (30 markets)7.8/10
10/18 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 732% of peak ($696 / $95)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,744$-290Vol: $6,793
📈 ECONOMICS#12,457$101Vol: $640

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,433
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
126B / 184S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-52
Vol: $0
Week
$-37
Vol: $36
Month
$-123
Vol: $406
All Time
$-190
Vol: $7,433

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
14W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-188
Win Rate
48%
14W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-96

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $423 (2.248552149195048% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$192
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$154
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$77
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$8
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$7

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-394
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-140
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-109
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.062
HHI
556
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
45.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 669s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)13.5%
High (>55c)83.3%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 8:17:22 AM14 trades$5780 min
7/13/2026, 2:37:52 PM5 trades$4753 min
7/13/2026, 4:42:17 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/1/2026, 4:08:07 PM4 trades$3192 min
7/22/2026, 8:45:58 AM5 trades$2470 min
7/2/2026, 9:10:10 PM8 trades$21911 min
8/1/2026, 2:45:05 PM2 trades$2180 min
6/5/2026, 9:28:22 PM12 trades$2119 min
6/8/2026, 5:21:36 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/13/2026, 2:51:11 PM6 trades$2006 min
7/21/2026, 7:10:51 PM11 trades$19610 min
7/3/2026, 8:19:04 PM7 trades$1620 min
7/3/2026, 11:42:43 AM3 trades$1520 min
5/27/2026, 3:23:14 PM8 trades$1416 min
5/17/2026, 6:22:49 AM10 trades$1389 min
7/2/2026, 9:34:52 PM2 trades$1320 min
5/27/2026, 9:51:44 PM7 trades$1181 min
5/17/2026, 6:46:18 AM10 trades$1165 min
6/9/2026, 5:15:46 AM5 trades$1161 min
6/4/2026, 11:38:45 AM5 trades$1043 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-24
05-29
06-05
06-12
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M13.5 / H83.3