@Xiao.Dong

#133,90553

0xb5f440be120825a44ef3ce9e879a879485379ffc

~8d· 29 markets · 250 tradesVol: $32,1052026-08-04 19:58:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (4/29)0/20
1.34x (win $113 / loss $84)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.60815/15
Sortino 8.94510/10
$+0.1820 per $1 invested9.1/10
HHI 943 (29 markets)7.8/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($25 / $54)4.7/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+360
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#3,281$363Vol: $32,037
₿ CRYPTO#972,679$-3Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$360
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,105
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
97B / 153S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
4W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$360
Win Rate
14%
4W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $107 (0.2960033305578684% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?$81
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?$14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?$12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?$6

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 10?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 10?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 7?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 7?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.126
Sortino
0.744
HHI
906
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24%
Top-5 markets
52.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
56%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1547s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)56% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity31 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.2%
High (>55c)38.1%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 12:31:35 AM32 trades$2184 min
7/9/2026, 8:18:56 AM8 trades$832 min
7/13/2026, 5:37:28 AM6 trades$830 min
7/13/2026, 4:34:52 AM4 trades$740 min
7/10/2026, 2:39:44 AM11 trades$705 min
7/8/2026, 7:31:49 PM6 trades$661 min
7/7/2026, 5:22:13 AM4 trades$540 min
7/9/2026, 9:56:46 AM9 trades$534 min
7/7/2026, 2:20:31 AM3 trades$450 min
7/12/2026, 3:12:01 AM7 trades$430 min
7/11/2026, 12:44:32 AM5 trades$350 min
7/6/2026, 4:05:53 AM7 trades$320 min
7/10/2026, 8:23:53 AM1 trades$300 min
7/6/2026, 4:53:43 AM9 trades$246 min
7/10/2026, 6:17:20 AM2 trades$200 min
7/8/2026, 6:05:52 AM3 trades$200 min
7/12/2026, 5:51:55 AM2 trades$200 min
7/11/2026, 5:09:07 AM3 trades$170 min
7/11/2026, 2:46:07 AM3 trades$140 min
7/9/2026, 4:56:07 AM3 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-12
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.6 / M8.2 / H38.1