@Careful.Idiot

#390,34385

0xb609109ae5178aca2ec98ae8b317971b89b985f8

~47d· 73 markets · 195 tradesVol: $8,7062026-08-04 23:19:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (62/71)20/20
1.90x (win $398 / loss $210)13.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.08315/15
Sortino 5.24510/10
$+0.0548 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 244 (71 markets)10/10
32/37 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($100 / $188)3.3/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+25
Consistent
32/37 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,513,103$-93Vol: $7,107
🎭 CULTURE#20,226$104Vol: $1,329
💻 TECH#38,680$1Vol: $110
📈 ECONOMICS#110,693$1Vol: $100
💰 FINANCE#52,328$11Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,706
Total Redeem
$444
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
139B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$25
Vol: $8,706

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
62W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$25
Win Rate
87%
62W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.9x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77 (3.014184397163121% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$28
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$28
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?$21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$12
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$12
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?$12
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?$11
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$11

Top Losers

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March 2026?$-60
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$-56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$-44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$-8
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.211
Sortino
0.122
HHI
219
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
17.2%
Half-Kelly
8.6%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4613s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.2%
High (>55c)83.5%

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 9:27:05 PM1 trades$1300 min
4/15/2026, 5:02:54 PM2 trades$900 min
4/12/2026, 9:02:41 AM2 trades$900 min
4/1/2026, 4:06:15 PM2 trades$870 min
3/3/2026, 2:30:25 PM1 trades$830 min
2/28/2026, 8:07:27 PM2 trades$743 min
2/28/2026, 10:20:09 PM3 trades$724 min
3/1/2026, 6:51:55 AM1 trades$680 min
4/5/2026, 3:55:07 AM1 trades$640 min
5/19/2026, 2:00:22 PM2 trades$630 min
7/2/2026, 1:22:31 AM1 trades$600 min
2/28/2026, 9:44:19 PM1 trades$580 min
3/30/2026, 3:33:45 PM1 trades$560 min
4/6/2026, 8:29:01 AM1 trades$540 min
4/11/2026, 2:52:21 PM1 trades$530 min
3/3/2026, 7:47:51 PM1 trades$520 min
2/28/2026, 4:53:49 PM1 trades$500 min
4/8/2026, 6:33:15 AM2 trades$500 min
3/1/2026, 9:23:03 AM1 trades$500 min
4/15/2026, 5:25:44 PM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-09
04-05
04-15
04-29
05-09
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M12.2 / H83.5