@gatschmahala

#2,943,69436

0xb626394ac5bf172984766f0e0769ade8dc6d2138

~173d· 412 markets · 1904 tradesVol: $305,6062026-08-05 17:24:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (260/383)18.9/20
0.54x (win $1,559 / loss $2,895)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9690/15
Sortino -3.2290/10
$-0.0312 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 242 (383 markets)10/10
55/96 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 818% of peak ($1,539 / $188)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,607,695$-738Vol: $282,010
💰 FINANCE#647,768$-358Vol: $14,323
🌤️ WEATHER#21,167$12Vol: $3,666
🎭 CULTURE#47,185$22Vol: $2,077
📢 MENTIONS#18,844$11Vol: $1,343
₿ CRYPTO#1,169,919$-11Vol: $1,219
📈 ECONOMICS#652,950$-64Vol: $944
⚽ SPORTS#1,317,308$-9Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,136
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$305,606
Total Redeem
$605
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
412
total markets
Trades
1228B / 676S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $0
Week
$27
Vol: $0
Month
$22
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,136
Vol: $305,606

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
260W / 123L events
Realized PnL
$-1,136
Win Rate
68%
260W / 123L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $533 (0.46933960187704143% of PnL)

Top Winners

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$219
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$180
Epstein client list released in 2025?$134
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$113
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 2, 2026?$95
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on April 1?$67
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?$54
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?$52
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?$48
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$42

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-443
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-211
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$-155
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 23, 2026?$-154
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-130
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?$-116
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-110
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-92
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?$-72
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?$-66

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.155
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
182
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
24.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.48
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)64%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 4:22:03 PM11 trades$3,0825 min
4/13/2026, 5:29:23 AM14 trades$2,8753 min
1/21/2026, 6:20:02 PM12 trades$2,47214 min
4/8/2026, 8:52:29 PM32 trades$2,0633 min
4/10/2026, 4:56:47 AM24 trades$1,6172 min
4/4/2026, 12:53:27 PM9 trades$1,4743 min
4/9/2026, 4:26:17 PM16 trades$1,0880 min
2/27/2026, 6:03:06 AM5 trades$9604 min
4/8/2026, 6:55:59 PM6 trades$9280 min
4/1/2026, 5:58:05 AM31 trades$91516 min
4/12/2026, 6:01:01 AM4 trades$8630 min
1/21/2026, 5:41:02 PM28 trades$80323 min
12/23/2025, 5:17:47 PM11 trades$7568 min
1/22/2026, 12:37:16 PM2 trades$7305 min
1/22/2026, 9:59:50 AM2 trades$7251 min
4/4/2026, 1:19:01 PM18 trades$7206 min
6/30/2026, 8:32:32 AM11 trades$6122 min
3/6/2026, 6:11:41 PM11 trades$61219 min
2/11/2026, 6:37:51 AM10 trades$5308 min
12/31/2025, 10:35:33 AM4 trades$5223 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-12
10-12
12-27
01-16
02-11
03-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.1 / M14.9 / H64