@guizin
#203,888290xb68c3ef6c0aa28d16eedf37ab6d34f9fb1a52add
~150d· 90 markets · 529 tradesVol: $59,9772026-08-04 23:41:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (42/77)12.3/20
0.85x (win $1,459 / loss $1,710)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9280/15
Sortino -1.2720/10
$-0.0218 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 371 (77 markets)10/10
35/66 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 212% of peak ($678 / $320)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+139
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.0 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#29,173$441Vol: $46,952
⚽ SPORTS#1,721,252$-158Vol: $6,761
📈 ECONOMICS#153,980$0Vol: $3,714
🎭 CULTURE#767,558$-60Vol: $1,122
📢 MENTIONS#156,962$-51Vol: $495
🌤️ WEATHER#24,181$9Vol: $350
💰 FINANCE#568,751$-9Vol: $334
₿ CRYPTO#263,537$7Vol: $149
Overview
#1Net PnL
$139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$59,977
Total Redeem
$40
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
335B / 194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$139
Vol: $59,977
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
42W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$139
Win Rate
55%
42W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-50
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $646 (4.647287379479062% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$263
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$262
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$121
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$95
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$78
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$70
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$51
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?$48
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$40
Will the US gain between 100k and 150k jobs in July?$38
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-227
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-200
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-180
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$-171
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$-122
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-121
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?$-104
Will Brazil win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?$-69
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-60
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-48
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
220
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
25.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
46.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2782s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.04
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)36.1%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)34.9%
Sessions
#1211/6/2024, 7:19:37 AM2 trades$8404 min
1/6/2026, 2:12:11 PM2 trades$4600 min
5/13/2026, 6:55:36 PM7 trades$3716 min
11/5/2024, 9:52:43 PM2 trades$3621 min
12/7/2025, 5:48:49 PM1 trades$3410 min
2/2/2026, 6:14:42 PM1 trades$3250 min
2/5/2026, 2:51:17 PM1 trades$3240 min
12/7/2025, 4:17:27 PM1 trades$3100 min
5/8/2025, 7:04:45 PM3 trades$3000 min
7/25/2024, 10:55:55 AM1 trades$2970 min
4/12/2026, 7:21:49 PM2 trades$2970 min
1/30/2026, 4:39:56 PM1 trades$2900 min
7/24/2024, 1:17:50 PM1 trades$2860 min
2/10/2026, 5:01:23 PM1 trades$2810 min
1/27/2026, 4:43:39 PM1 trades$2490 min
4/12/2026, 1:29:09 PM2 trades$2490 min
2/13/2026, 8:07:17 PM1 trades$2390 min
1/15/2026, 11:52:42 PM1 trades$2270 min
7/24/2024, 12:14:30 AM1 trades$2250 min
3/16/2026, 11:15:07 PM2 trades$2221 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-17
08-09
11-06
01-16
02-12
03-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 505 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.04/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.1 / M29 / H34.9