@vesperatoros

#2,966,58934

0xb6d9c232e51721cc592767b74dfb7afc8e4ff7ff

~41d· 32 markets · 96 tradesVol: $11,8372026-08-04 22:09:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (16/24)18.3/20
0.53x (win $1,608 / loss $3,050)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0810/15
Sortino -4.9710/10
$-0.2136 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 788 (24 markets)8.6/10
12/20 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 473% of peak ($2,574 / $544)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,842,613$-1,430Vol: $10,474
🏛️ POLITICS#1,429,086$-33Vol: $706
CRYPTO#491,859$0Vol: $414
💰 FINANCE#131,977$1Vol: $144
📈 ECONOMICS#99,746$1Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,459
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,837
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
94B / 2S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $77
Month
$0
Vol: $77
All Time
$-1,459
Vol: $11,837

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
16W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-1,459
Win Rate
67%
16W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$101
Avg Loss
$-381

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,580 (1.0828301382444259% of PnL)

Top Winners

Twins vs. Angels$598
Stars vs. Jets$544
Nationals vs. Yankees$438
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$5
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?$5
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$3
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$2
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$2
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2

Top Losers

Blue Jays vs. Reds$-603
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers$-599
Rays vs. Athletics$-589
White Sox vs. Braves$-470
Angels vs. Astros$-421
Giants vs. Pirates$-240
Rays vs. Yankees$-90
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.208
Sortino
-0.311
HHI
708
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.226
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
49.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
53.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3208s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)89.4%

Sessions

#12
8/25/2025, 9:08:01 AM2 trades$9300 min
5/15/2025, 6:05:54 AM1 trades$6140 min
9/2/2025, 11:49:36 AM1 trades$6030 min
8/13/2025, 11:12:27 AM1 trades$5990 min
8/11/2025, 11:01:58 AM2 trades$5890 min
9/8/2025, 9:04:34 AM1 trades$5300 min
8/20/2025, 3:17:32 AM2 trades$4700 min
9/1/2025, 9:02:00 AM1 trades$4210 min
8/5/2025, 8:18:52 AM1 trades$2400 min
6/26/2026, 3:43:23 PM2 trades$1001 min
7/31/2025, 12:12:10 PM1 trades$900 min
8/3/2026, 9:15:24 AM2 trades$750 min
5/21/2026, 12:49:24 PM1 trades$600 min
5/25/2026, 8:49:26 PM1 trades$600 min
5/13/2026, 4:08:46 PM1 trades$600 min
5/21/2026, 8:03:33 PM1 trades$590 min
5/13/2026, 12:38:13 PM1 trades$590 min
5/29/2026, 9:21:40 PM1 trades$560 min
5/26/2026, 12:09:34 PM4 trades$550 min
5/26/2026, 9:13:39 PM1 trades$550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
08-11
08-25
09-08
05-21
05-29
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M10.6 / H89.4