ethereumpapi

@ethereumpapi

#3,034,2750

0xb6effc819d64ad936b566cb8d97f77c42da9039d

~57d· 68 markets · 969 tradesVol: $694,135 @ethereumpapi2026-08-04 23:27:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (19/66)0/20
0.08x (win $976 / loss $12,624)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.4750/15
Sortino -8.5190/10
$-0.6961 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2715 (66 markets)0/10
7/25 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($11,648 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,662,173$-3,403Vol: $675,496
🏛️ POLITICS#1,597,056$-481Vol: $18,639

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,884
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$694,135
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
699B / 270S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
19W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-3,884
Win Rate
29%
19W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-274

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $661 (0.17021862777661909% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$313
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$253
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$95
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$69
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$50
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$13

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-3,490
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$-2,202
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$-2,157
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $-1,428
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$-1,216
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$-1,176
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?$-208
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$-168
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28?$-103
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?$-85

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.486
Sortino
-0.445
HHI
2281
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.502
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.9%
Top-5 markets
97.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 266s — normal for humanCV 3.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81.8%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)12.2%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 3:53:34 PM10 trades$10,2683 min
6/24/2026, 8:52:10 PM2 trades$6,0580 min
6/8/2026, 2:09:19 PM5 trades$2,3521 min
4/9/2026, 3:19:19 PM5 trades$1,8840 min
6/27/2026, 7:37:49 PM6 trades$1,5730 min
6/24/2026, 8:11:26 PM4 trades$1,5570 min
6/4/2026, 1:08:01 PM12 trades$1,3673 min
6/4/2026, 10:34:31 AM25 trades$1,3096 min
6/21/2026, 10:01:05 AM16 trades$1,0410 min
6/4/2026, 12:17:03 AM8 trades$9002 min
12/2/2025, 6:38:04 PM1 trades$7270 min
5/30/2026, 11:10:28 PM3 trades$6911 min
12/24/2025, 4:48:35 PM1 trades$6350 min
5/30/2026, 10:37:34 PM1 trades$6170 min
6/4/2026, 12:49:12 AM6 trades$5391 min
6/21/2026, 2:16:55 PM5 trades$5300 min
6/4/2026, 12:30:03 AM5 trades$4931 min
6/11/2026, 6:57:24 AM12 trades$4810 min
5/2/2026, 3:50:22 PM2 trades$4510 min
6/4/2026, 12:42:21 PM7 trades$4490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-05
12-26
01-09
05-02
06-04
06-24
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.8 / M6 / H12.2