@Ingleby

#2,841,65638

0xb73b3e514749316c54a0485154af91ebfef4c188

~16d· 27 markets · 141 tradesVol: $32,9642026-08-04 20:09:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (14/19)20/20
0.26x (win $376 / loss $1,440)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3540/15
Sortino -6.0920/10
$-0.1008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 638 (19 markets)9.3/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 457% of peak ($1,362 / $298)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#92,710$47Vol: $28,489
⚽ SPORTS#1,799,841$-523Vol: $4,235
📈 ECONOMICS#368,515$-0Vol: $240

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,964
Total Redeem
$844
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
84B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $1,800
Month
$9
Vol: $1,800
All Time
$-476
Vol: $32,964

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
14W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-476
Win Rate
74%
14W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-288

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $165 (0.3463728229584655% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$66
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$51
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$48
Spread: Clermont Foot 63 (-2.5)$33
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?$32
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$23
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$22
Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)$20
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)$19
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$18

Top Losers

Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)$-967
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?$-230
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?$-152
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5$-92

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.317
Sortino
-0.235
HHI
586
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
43.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)67.9%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 7:28:33 AM4 trades$1,0100 min
7/15/2026, 5:18:56 AM3 trades$9300 min
6/25/2026, 8:19:28 AM6 trades$8753 min
6/26/2026, 2:43:52 AM6 trades$8605 min
6/23/2026, 6:35:22 AM4 trades$8500 min
7/2/2026, 9:26:16 AM4 trades$8501 min
7/2/2026, 7:01:59 AM8 trades$8302 min
6/25/2026, 9:39:16 AM4 trades$8200 min
6/23/2026, 9:26:10 AM4 trades$8050 min
6/26/2026, 5:58:16 AM4 trades$7900 min
4/10/2026, 6:20:25 AM26 trades$6505 min
5/15/2026, 9:07:21 AM2 trades$4990 min
5/14/2026, 4:50:19 AM4 trades$4850 min
5/15/2026, 7:09:13 AM2 trades$4850 min
5/14/2026, 7:39:15 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/13/2026, 3:29:51 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/15/2026, 8:25:19 AM1 trades$4800 min
5/13/2026, 7:13:44 AM2 trades$4750 min
5/14/2026, 7:33:16 AM2 trades$4751 min
5/13/2026, 7:05:57 AM1 trades$4700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-24
04-26
05-11
05-13
05-14
05-15
05-16
05-25
06-12
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.1 / M0 / H67.9