@russellwillis

#2,548,59712

0xb79c62c3bccb6f6741e52a262a8b37e6fd52c1a6

~36d· 68 markets · 156 tradesVol: $34,1142026-08-04 23:37:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (24/64)3.8/20
0.03x (win $3 / loss $93)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8970/15
Sortino -3.8190/10
$-0.0053 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1815 (64 markets)3.4/10
17/35 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($92 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,264,123$-10Vol: $19,268
⚽ SPORTS#1,665,215$-92Vol: $14,247
💰 FINANCE#127,728$1Vol: $363
₿ CRYPTO#460,361$1Vol: $229
🎭 CULTURE#328,024$0Vol: $6
🌤️ WEATHER#150,807$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,114
Total Redeem
$75
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
95B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-100
Vol: $34,114

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
24W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-100
Win Rate
38%
24W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.016524787180771158% of PnL)

Top Winners

Red Wings vs. Sabres$1
Will Meta reach $810 in April?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of January?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in July?$0
Rangers vs. Sabres$0
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?$0
Will Airbnb (ABNB) close above $90 end of November?$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0

Top Losers

Flyers vs. Blue Jackets$-76
Wild vs. Utah$-6
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Ducks vs. Senators$-2
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Ducks vs. Canadiens$-1
Pacers vs. 76ers$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.201
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
324
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
37.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 761s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)28.4%
High (>55c)71.6%

Sessions

#12
10/24/2025, 1:17:09 PM1 trades$1,9420 min
10/24/2025, 12:52:13 PM1 trades$1,9400 min
10/24/2025, 1:31:05 PM1 trades$1,9400 min
10/24/2025, 1:02:25 PM1 trades$1,9380 min
10/24/2025, 2:34:07 PM1 trades$1,9100 min
10/24/2025, 2:50:23 PM1 trades$1,9080 min
10/24/2025, 1:42:15 PM1 trades$1,8860 min
10/24/2025, 1:52:55 PM1 trades$1,8840 min
10/24/2025, 2:02:33 PM1 trades$1,8650 min
10/24/2025, 2:15:57 PM1 trades$1,8630 min
2/24/2025, 7:40:15 AM1 trades$9230 min
2/24/2025, 9:29:06 AM1 trades$9220 min
2/24/2025, 3:14:50 PM1 trades$9200 min
2/24/2025, 3:42:22 PM1 trades$9190 min
2/24/2025, 1:37:22 PM1 trades$9170 min
2/24/2025, 2:30:12 PM1 trades$9160 min
2/24/2025, 4:33:23 PM1 trades$9140 min
2/24/2025, 6:17:23 AM1 trades$9130 min
2/24/2025, 5:27:04 PM1 trades$9130 min
2/24/2025, 7:00:59 AM1 trades$9120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
12-11
01-16
02-24
04-25
08-23
04-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M28.4 / H71.6