@poppppy

#75,48523

0xb7dd0c08e8424d3b69e54b04beffca8b3331e5e4

~85d· 90 markets · 1615 tradesVol: $193,3292026-08-06 02:23:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (48/86)12.9/20
0.08x (win $2,660 / loss $32,015)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9800/15
Sortino -3.8980/10
$-0.2960 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2166 (86 markets)1.7/10
23/37 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 2683% of peak ($30,845 / $1,150)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,137
DCA Master
Avg 29.6 entries/market
Whale
$99,155 invested
Consistent
23/37 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#18,025$1,000Vol: $186,274
SPORTS#104,205$138Vol: $6,705
🌤️ WEATHER#43,216$2Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#104,373$-3Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,137
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$193,329
Total Redeem
$4,703
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
1101B / 514S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$12
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,137
Vol: $193,329

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
48W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$1,137
Win Rate
56%
48W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-915

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,047 (0.9207291859124942% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$553
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$257
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$236
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$202
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$109
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$105
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$95
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$85
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-22,638
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-7,118
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,123
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-336
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-122
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-95
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-81
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-62
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-56
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.205
Sortino
-0.129
HHI
7191
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.177
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
74.5%
Top-5 markets
138.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 492s — normal for humanCV 5.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)58%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 8:02:11 PM22 trades$17,1952 min
6/7/2026, 1:22:06 PM1 trades$9,4010 min
6/8/2026, 1:21:06 AM19 trades$9,0139 min
6/7/2026, 2:26:45 PM6 trades$8,0451 min
6/30/2026, 8:08:59 PM6 trades$4,1121 min
5/16/2026, 12:06:58 AM3 trades$2,9172 min
6/24/2026, 7:40:17 PM4 trades$2,7380 min
6/30/2026, 2:29:46 AM3 trades$2,1560 min
6/30/2026, 10:56:02 PM2 trades$1,9100 min
6/20/2026, 6:10:52 PM2 trades$1,1880 min
7/4/2026, 9:18:47 AM7 trades$1,1591 min
5/15/2026, 5:41:02 PM5 trades$1,1532 min
5/15/2026, 11:01:12 PM1 trades$1,1080 min
6/7/2026, 7:40:40 PM3 trades$1,0971 min
5/17/2026, 12:51:11 PM6 trades$1,0432 min
5/5/2026, 4:53:22 PM6 trades$1,0097 min
4/13/2026, 2:25:01 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
5/16/2026, 9:31:38 PM2 trades$9950 min
5/14/2026, 5:32:35 PM3 trades$9900 min
5/13/2026, 5:07:13 AM11 trades$9847 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-15
06-04
06-14
06-25
07-04
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M20.8 / H58