@0xb857…9648

#222,57616

0xb85790388ae047df3a8b6e44b39ff9045f329648

~15d· 12 markets · 182 tradesVol: $14,5472026-08-04 15:06:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (4/11)3.2/20
1.03x (win $181 / loss $176)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1643.1/15
Sortino 0.2122.1/10
$+0.0060 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 2335 (11 markets)0.8/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 291% of peak ($171 / $59)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+115
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#6,553$115Vol: $14,547

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,547
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
113B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$16
Vol: $888
Month
$11
Vol: $1,444
All Time
$115
Vol: $14,547

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
4W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$115
Win Rate
36%
4W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $181 (1.5766881870528702% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$117
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$61
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$3
Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$0

Top Losers

Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-82
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-46
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-24
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-8
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-7
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$-7
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.008
Sortino
0.009
HHI
3030
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.5%
Top-5 markets
89%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2526s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)35.4%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 10:46:08 PM6 trades$2290 min
8/2/2026, 8:42:30 AM5 trades$2223 min
7/29/2026, 1:20:23 PM2 trades$1570 min
8/2/2026, 8:35:51 AM7 trades$1200 min
7/28/2026, 3:34:31 AM3 trades$1004 min
8/1/2026, 11:07:42 PM2 trades$750 min
7/11/2026, 10:43:56 AM7 trades$580 min
7/9/2026, 2:52:50 AM2 trades$550 min
8/2/2026, 10:23:08 PM3 trades$520 min
8/2/2026, 10:43:51 PM2 trades$440 min
7/31/2026, 5:46:56 PM5 trades$430 min
8/1/2026, 7:36:00 PM1 trades$420 min
8/1/2026, 4:34:41 AM3 trades$360 min
7/31/2026, 8:43:35 PM2 trades$290 min
7/28/2026, 5:00:06 AM2 trades$290 min
7/29/2026, 12:11:11 AM2 trades$270 min
7/31/2026, 1:02:15 AM2 trades$260 min
7/5/2026, 7:13:55 PM3 trades$250 min
7/31/2026, 1:14:38 AM3 trades$250 min
7/30/2026, 6:01:02 PM3 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
07-11
07-12
07-17
07-29
07-30
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.7 / M15.9 / H35.4