@lllbigt

#63,17086

0xb85f90f024547df54f9acd074d85a18e7748879e

~57d· 59 markets · 156 tradesVol: $64,6602026-08-04 22:22:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (37/54)19.3/20
2.62x (win $2,663 / loss $1,017)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.98415/15
Sortino 8.62610/10
$+0.1142 per $1 invested5.7/10
HHI 1915 (54 markets)2.9/10
25/36 profitable days (69%)9.9/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($661 / $2,307)8.3/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+1,538
Consistent
25/36 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#14,383$1,425Vol: $50,192
📈 ECONOMICS#9,587$157Vol: $7,357
₿ CRYPTO#1,412,457$-60Vol: $2,196
💰 FINANCE#40,505$20Vol: $2,020
⚽ SPORTS#1,647,951$-79Vol: $1,794
🎭 CULTURE#47,878$21Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,660
Total Redeem
$150
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
101B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,538
Vol: $64,660

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
37W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$1,538
Win Rate
69%
37W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.62x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,903 (1.237752732995597% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$898
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$615
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$390
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$125
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$120
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?$46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$43
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$36

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-590
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$-100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-83
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-38
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?$-31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?$-17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-16
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.206
Sortino
0.268
HHI
1890
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.107
Kelly %
23.2%
Half-Kelly
11.6%
Top-1 market
39.8%
Top-5 markets
68.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 334s — normal for humanCV 3.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.87
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.8%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)56.4%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2025, 4:51:43 AM2 trades$7,0210 min
5/20/2025, 4:21:23 AM3 trades$3,9275 min
5/20/2025, 4:04:37 AM2 trades$3,4842 min
3/9/2026, 10:04:41 AM5 trades$1,1027 min
4/30/2026, 8:02:02 AM6 trades$8581 min
9/8/2025, 4:00:48 AM1 trades$5400 min
5/29/2025, 6:35:53 AM1 trades$5060 min
8/14/2025, 7:18:26 AM1 trades$5000 min
5/23/2025, 12:57:07 AM1 trades$4890 min
7/28/2025, 11:56:49 AM1 trades$4780 min
6/11/2025, 6:13:35 AM1 trades$4670 min
6/2/2025, 3:00:42 PM1 trades$4590 min
9/14/2025, 9:14:26 AM2 trades$4031 min
10/26/2025, 2:28:09 PM1 trades$4000 min
3/23/2026, 12:54:19 AM2 trades$3340 min
3/15/2026, 2:08:27 PM2 trades$3003 min
3/10/2026, 11:08:59 PM1 trades$2870 min
3/10/2026, 12:10:41 AM1 trades$2600 min
3/9/2026, 10:38:41 AM2 trades$2134 min
3/9/2026, 1:16:45 AM1 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
05-29
09-08
12-05
12-30
04-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.8 / M22.8 / H56.4