@chopwood

#2,722,91342

0xb88616639b7766bb405f20992e43aa043ea23024

~56d· 211 markets · 614 tradesVol: $12,8552026-08-04 23:40:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (20/70)0/20
1.09x (win $851 / loss $782)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.89315/15
Sortino 1.47010/10
$+0.0173 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 250 (70 markets)10/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 287% of peak ($197 / $69)0/10

Badges

3
Diamond Hands
9% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,486,960$-64Vol: $4,874
₿ CRYPTO#1,350,844$-37Vol: $2,706
💰 FINANCE#627,159$-77Vol: $2,619
💻 TECH#221,131$-6Vol: $808
🎭 CULTURE#664,101$-7Vol: $668
📈 ECONOMICS#537,133$-3Vol: $470
⚽ SPORTS#1,473,730$-22Vol: $375
🌤️ WEATHER#63,240$1Vol: $120
📢 MENTIONS#45,910$0Vol: $41

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-214
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,855
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
211
total markets
Trades
557B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $50
Week
$3
Vol: $70
Month
$2
Vol: $107
All Time
$-214
Vol: $12,855

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
20W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-214
Win Rate
29%
20W / 50L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $337 (1.5768115942028984% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?$134
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$114
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$90
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$90
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$81
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$78
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$35
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$34
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$33
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$31

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-75
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$-52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$-44
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$-32
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$-31
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$-29
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$-28
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$-27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$-26
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.046
Sortino
0.078
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2182s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal3.3 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.4%
High (>55c)59.8%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 8:18:09 PM36 trades$1645 min
6/11/2026, 1:42:06 PM39 trades$1610 min
6/2/2026, 10:33:48 PM11 trades$1072 min
6/10/2026, 3:28:49 PM17 trades$901 min
6/11/2026, 3:23:19 AM9 trades$800 min
6/15/2026, 3:58:19 PM2 trades$501 min
6/12/2026, 9:23:57 PM1 trades$400 min
6/15/2026, 7:45:09 PM1 trades$350 min
6/12/2026, 2:31:07 AM2 trades$354 min
6/28/2026, 2:38:19 PM2 trades$331 min
7/24/2026, 10:38:30 PM2 trades$313 min
6/17/2026, 9:10:04 PM1 trades$300 min
6/20/2026, 11:58:31 AM3 trades$294 min
6/16/2026, 7:30:57 AM1 trades$290 min
6/8/2026, 7:48:13 PM5 trades$2810 min
6/13/2026, 2:25:36 PM3 trades$271 min
7/21/2026, 7:25:07 PM3 trades$273 min
6/12/2026, 1:54:49 AM2 trades$242 min
7/26/2026, 3:25:49 PM1 trades$240 min
6/23/2026, 5:25:13 AM4 trades$241 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-07
06-10
06-13
06-16
06-19
06-23
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.8 / M29.4 / H59.8