@tiam2

#88,38990

0xb8df1c48989c5e683f7cede76f2564153104d316

~51d· 30 markets · 220 tradesVol: $41,8712026-08-04 23:36:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (11/17)17.4/20
22.86x (win $3,517 / loss $154)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.72115/15
Sortino 213.80210/10
$+0.8572 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1725 (17 markets)3.9/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($141 / $3,363)10/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+857
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Consistent
8/12 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#29,362$1,062Vol: $32,300
💰 FINANCE#641,141$-184Vol: $5,293
🏛️ POLITICS#1,380,563$-20Vol: $4,278

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$857
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,871
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
124B / 96S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $0
Week
$-77
Vol: $0
Month
$-181
Vol: $0
All Time
$857
Vol: $41,871

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
11W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$857
Win Rate
65%
11W / 6L
Profit Factor
22.86x
Avg Win
$320
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,236 (3.7736570802136544% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1,706
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1,194
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?$336
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 December 8-14?$83
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 8-14?$61
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$51
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$43
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$15
US government shutdown Saturday?$8

Top Losers

Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in December?$-39
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in December?$-30
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December?$-29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-23
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in December?$-20
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.337
Sortino
12.107
HHI
533
Moderate
EV per $1
$2.118
Kelly %
52.2%
Half-Kelly
26.1%
Top-1 market
22%
Top-5 markets
33.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 866s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.3%
Mid (20-55c)21%
High (>55c)17.7%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 9:42:15 AM22 trades$1,6692 min
7/8/2026, 2:58:49 PM23 trades$1,5953 min
6/3/2026, 6:24:40 AM8 trades$1,2351 min
6/25/2026, 11:24:11 AM16 trades$8614 min
7/2/2026, 7:30:14 AM7 trades$6581 min
2/2/2026, 5:42:48 AM1 trades$4360 min
3/6/2026, 8:08:07 AM4 trades$3870 min
2/3/2026, 10:00:44 PM1 trades$2900 min
12/9/2025, 4:52:40 PM3 trades$2791 min
5/6/2026, 4:01:20 AM10 trades$26713 min
5/6/2026, 6:04:06 AM1 trades$2320 min
2/5/2026, 4:10:15 PM1 trades$1350 min
12/9/2025, 10:38:21 AM4 trades$1202 min
2/25/2026, 11:38:22 AM1 trades$1080 min
2/4/2026, 4:47:39 PM2 trades$1084 min
1/31/2026, 1:24:00 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/4/2026, 3:58:05 PM1 trades$990 min
2/6/2026, 8:41:07 AM2 trades$943 min
2/1/2026, 7:56:38 PM2 trades$813 min
12/9/2025, 10:47:09 AM1 trades$660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
12-29
01-14
02-01
02-04
03-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.3 / M21 / H17.7