Galldown

@Galldown

#1,308,46856

0xb8e93c75879c7406fdaced71a81819f876f1f711

~15d· 76 markets · 214 tradesVol: $6092026-08-04 17:21:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (20/75)0/20
2.62x (win $1 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.68915/15
Sortino 20.58010/10
$+0.0016 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 303 (75 markets)10/10
4/15 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($0 / $1)5.5/10

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#449,993$-1Vol: $209
🏛️ POLITICS#689,369$-0Vol: $138
🎭 CULTURE#390,249$-0Vol: $87
₿ CRYPTO#723,007$-0Vol: $73
📈 ECONOMICS#319,217$-0Vol: $43
🌤️ WEATHER#156,747$-0Vol: $32
⚽ SPORTS#582,430$0Vol: $26
💻 TECH#128,127$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$609
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
86B / 128S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1
Vol: $609

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
20W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
27%
20W / 55L
Profit Factor
2.64x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.5961538461538461% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in June?$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 5?$0
Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)$0
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?$0

Top Losers

Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 79000?$-0
Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?$-0
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?$-0
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on September 30?$-0
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open?$-0
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 12 ET?$-0
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 400m by January 31?$-0
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-0
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
1.226
HHI
400
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
32.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 0.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97.7%

Sessions

#12
9/12/2025, 5:14:45 PM47 trades$10121 min
6/22/2026, 11:27:59 AM20 trades$898 min
4/20/2026, 11:24:34 AM16 trades$824 min
3/27/2026, 6:08:31 AM8 trades$683 min
1/28/2026, 11:13:01 AM13 trades$5913 min
6/4/2026, 5:23:15 PM13 trades$516 min
2/23/2026, 5:46:00 AM6 trades$376 min
2/23/2026, 5:59:44 AM10 trades$326 min
3/8/2026, 3:34:07 PM6 trades$2510 min
3/8/2026, 5:45:53 PM4 trades$211 min
11/1/2025, 8:58:37 AM10 trades$196 min
1/28/2026, 11:37:07 AM6 trades$138 min
11/30/2025, 5:00:52 PM16 trades$1214 min
8/13/2025, 2:15:37 PM16 trades$54 min
1/28/2026, 11:31:37 AM1 trades$40 min
1/21/2025, 6:56:19 AM6 trades$42 min
12/25/2025, 8:59:43 AM6 trades$47 min
12/25/2025, 8:35:27 AM3 trades$25 min
2/17/2025, 8:11:37 AM4 trades$21 min
12/25/2025, 8:47:27 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
08-13
11-01
12-25
02-23
03-27
04-20
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M0 / H97.7