Nixon1

@Nixon1

#2,921,1139

0xb8fde548eb97dc1c247f4d80b79887a6e18d7281

~31d· 53 markets · 161 tradesVol: $14,3742026-08-05 16:35:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (10/53)0/20
0.32x (win $689 / loss $2,176)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0300/15
Sortino -6.1400/10
$-0.8817 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 662 (53 markets)9.2/10
6/30 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 1004% of peak ($1,651 / $164)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,814,517$-728Vol: $9,916
₿ CRYPTO#1,546,849$-228Vol: $2,760
🎭 CULTURE#95,817$4Vol: $286

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-955
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,374
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
66B / 95S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
10W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-955
Win Rate
19%
10W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-57

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $505 (0.5287589773655227% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$256
Celtics vs. Cavaliers$143
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?$106
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-13?$78
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$39
Celtics vs. Bucks$31
Hornets vs. Suns$26
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$7
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-03?$4
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0

Top Losers

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$-585
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-390
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-173
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?$-120
Knicks vs. Spurs$-100
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?$-96
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$-70
Will Portugal win the World Cup?$-67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$-50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.310
Sortino
-0.321
HHI
844
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.718
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
56.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10784s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.9%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)27.3%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 7:03:26 AM7 trades$9180 min
6/12/2026, 9:35:25 PM2 trades$5850 min
6/15/2026, 9:08:06 PM17 trades$4133 min
6/15/2026, 12:32:33 AM2 trades$3820 min
3/8/2026, 8:20:53 PM1 trades$2920 min
6/15/2026, 9:36:42 PM8 trades$2470 min
7/6/2026, 11:39:01 PM12 trades$2051 min
6/21/2026, 7:45:17 AM7 trades$1941 min
5/27/2026, 6:52:46 PM2 trades$1940 min
6/3/2026, 4:07:14 AM2 trades$1930 min
3/8/2026, 8:01:11 AM1 trades$1490 min
6/22/2026, 12:05:56 AM2 trades$1330 min
7/4/2026, 4:21:28 PM4 trades$1321 min
3/16/2026, 2:26:31 AM1 trades$1140 min
6/21/2026, 9:03:05 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/22/2026, 3:05:53 AM2 trades$1000 min
3/14/2026, 2:02:21 AM1 trades$1000 min
6/26/2026, 11:48:40 PM4 trades$921 min
5/9/2026, 4:40:10 AM2 trades$790 min
6/3/2026, 11:56:01 PM2 trades$780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-08
03-14
05-27
06-21
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.9 / M28.8 / H27.3