@oskarvardal

#2,895,29249

0xb909f2e83be55312dd9c015427f60abb40ebd559

~83d· 379 markets · 1190 tradesVol: $89,3102026-08-04 21:50:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (161/377)6.4/20
1.09x (win $15,027 / loss $13,839)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.66012.4/15
Sortino 1.49510/10
$+0.0350 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 154 (377 markets)10/10
34/73 profitable days (47%)4.1/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($2,055 / $3,156)1/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#42,718$826Vol: $24,908
🏛️ POLITICS#105,245$36Vol: $2,405
📈 ECONOMICS#21,223$37Vol: $2,267
₿ CRYPTO#1,312,057$-28Vol: $934
🎭 CULTURE#32,475$45Vol: $466
💰 FINANCE#83,786$4Vol: $447
💻 TECH#203,260$-2Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-742
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$89,310
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
379
total markets
Trades
588B / 602S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$28
Vol: $466
Week
$53
Vol: $2,457
Month
$-349
Vol: $4,005
All Time
$-742
Vol: $89,310

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
161W / 216L events
Realized PnL
$-742
Win Rate
43%
161W / 216L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,811 (3.7887593503605363% of PnL)

Top Winners

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$1,430
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5$703
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5$678
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5$610
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5$448
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?$347
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5$304
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?$261
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?$240
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5$218

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner$-828
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$-714
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$-522
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-502
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A$-437
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5$-400
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?$-330
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?$-298
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-276
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-252

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.066
HHI
181
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1605s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8%
Mid (20-55c)50.2%
High (>55c)41.8%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 11:42:37 PM3 trades$3,1910 min
6/16/2026, 10:52:11 PM2 trades$2,5080 min
6/16/2026, 9:03:59 PM2 trades$1,5970 min
6/16/2026, 11:01:31 PM2 trades$1,5970 min
6/16/2026, 9:19:47 PM2 trades$1,2550 min
6/16/2026, 12:05:27 AM2 trades$1,2090 min
6/15/2026, 10:07:45 PM5 trades$1,1312 min
7/18/2026, 3:29:03 PM8 trades$9491 min
6/16/2026, 2:06:16 AM2 trades$8240 min
6/14/2026, 10:26:18 PM6 trades$7272 min
6/16/2026, 6:22:22 PM2 trades$5860 min
6/16/2026, 8:57:08 PM2 trades$5860 min
6/7/2026, 2:09:33 PM4 trades$5653 min
6/16/2026, 5:46:26 PM6 trades$5322 min
6/16/2026, 12:27:51 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/16/2026, 3:52:56 PM5 trades$5000 min
6/16/2026, 6:02:17 PM1 trades$4960 min
6/7/2026, 7:31:31 PM5 trades$4633 min
6/14/2026, 1:53:30 PM8 trades$4590 min
7/15/2026, 10:30:46 AM2 trades$4200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
06-05
05-14
06-06
06-18
07-12
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8 / M50.2 / H41.8