xinwen

@xinwen

#278,62164

0xb991e13974a04586736a8c751c9331c51723ba03

~118d· 683 markets · 1576 tradesVol: $335,980 @CynthiaGon646952026-08-04 21:52:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (389/671)14/20
1.28x (win $196 / loss $154)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.76914.4/15
Sortino 1.08810/10
$+0.0047 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 548 (671 markets)9.8/10
68/96 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($92 / $111)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+70
Consistent
68/96 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#126,005$52Vol: $200,695
🏛️ POLITICS#142,867$17Vol: $31,453
📈 ECONOMICS#220,425$0Vol: $20,008
💰 FINANCE#117,599$2Vol: $1,323

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$335,980
Total Redeem
$84
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
683
total markets
Trades
1387B / 189S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$70
Vol: $335,980

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
389W / 282L events
Realized PnL
$70
Win Rate
58%
389W / 282L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (1.3472641102972858% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?$65
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$18
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $90 Week of June 29 2026?$11
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?$10
Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?$9
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?$8
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?$6
Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$5
Solana above $200 on November 15?$4
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?$4

Top Losers

Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?$-68
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?$-23
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$-16
Solana above $255 on November 29?$-11
Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?$-10
Ethereum above $2,700 on June 10?$-5
Solana ETF approved by July 31?$-3
Ripple ETF approved by July 31?$-2
Ripple above $2.40 on December 20?$-2
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.022
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
24.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.4m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 2.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.45
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)3.2%
High (>55c)74.3%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 7:07:23 AM34 trades$4838 min
6/9/2026, 4:01:48 PM18 trades$33423 min
12/5/2024, 12:55:42 AM4 trades$2184 min
11/8/2024, 8:52:07 PM1 trades$2170 min
5/31/2026, 8:10:54 PM1 trades$2010 min
11/7/2024, 11:49:27 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/8/2024, 1:52:04 PM2 trades$1892 min
6/11/2026, 8:14:06 AM52 trades$1847 min
11/8/2024, 6:45:27 PM3 trades$1828 min
12/7/2024, 1:12:55 AM1 trades$1770 min
5/30/2026, 12:38:36 AM53 trades$17162 min
11/23/2024, 7:03:59 PM2 trades$1622 min
11/24/2024, 1:03:37 PM1 trades$1620 min
11/8/2024, 6:34:21 PM3 trades$1564 min
12/7/2024, 1:50:47 AM1 trades$1520 min
11/8/2024, 6:06:45 AM1 trades$1520 min
12/7/2024, 1:24:04 AM2 trades$1502 min
5/14/2026, 4:37:27 AM41 trades$1418 min
11/8/2024, 12:15:35 PM1 trades$1350 min
12/7/2024, 9:57:13 AM2 trades$1351 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
12-27
04-11
10-31
01-26
03-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.4 / M3.2 / H74.3