@0xb999…8446

#202,13068

0xb99988b728325046dd14a5fe95b758c2563b8446

~32d· 112 markets · 1060 tradesVol: $3,7362026-08-04 20:58:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (42/84)10/20
1.41x (win $362 / loss $256)7.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.89515/15
Sortino 2.97710/10
$+0.1627 per $1 invested8.1/10
HHI 931 (84 markets)7.8/10
15/27 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($128 / $225)2.7/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+142
DCA Master
Avg 12.9 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,475,195$-56Vol: $2,678
SPORTS#467,356$0Vol: $313
CRYPTO#148,828$34Vol: $176
📢 MENTIONS#8,817$53Vol: $157
🌤️ WEATHER#6,899$105Vol: $145
💰 FINANCE#45,732$15Vol: $128
🎭 CULTURE#596,628$-3Vol: $71
📈 ECONOMICS#576,302$-6Vol: $57
💻 TECH#193,263$-1Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$142
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,736
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
112
total markets
Trades
520B / 540S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$142
Vol: $3,736

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
42W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$142
Win Rate
51%
42W / 41L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $236 (1.6649273727259906% of PnL)

Top Winners

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$135
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$49
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$44
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$19
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$5
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-124
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?$-27
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-8
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$-8
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-5
Trump out as President by May 31?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.097
Sortino
0.110
HHI
691
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.168
Kelly %
4.2%
Half-Kelly
2.1%
Top-1 market
18.1%
Top-5 markets
48.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1069s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency2.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)65.2%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 10:19:35 PM4 trades$3100 min
6/11/2026, 6:25:03 AM34 trades$1934 min
5/25/2026, 7:16:18 AM2 trades$1430 min
5/27/2026, 10:53:09 PM2 trades$1100 min
6/1/2026, 12:00:29 PM18 trades$507 min
6/25/2026, 9:52:08 PM31 trades$472 min
5/22/2026, 12:21:46 PM9 trades$395 min
5/18/2026, 9:04:15 PM4 trades$371 min
5/15/2026, 2:14:56 PM18 trades$3215 min
5/21/2026, 10:02:50 AM2 trades$310 min
5/15/2026, 4:41:47 AM6 trades$283 min
5/23/2026, 8:17:47 AM8 trades$2610 min
6/26/2026, 12:37:29 AM25 trades$250 min
5/22/2026, 10:39:47 AM2 trades$220 min
5/24/2026, 8:46:22 PM4 trades$220 min
5/23/2026, 8:07:29 AM2 trades$220 min
5/23/2026, 1:16:06 PM2 trades$220 min
5/23/2026, 4:52:38 PM2 trades$220 min
5/24/2026, 3:39:05 AM3 trades$220 min
5/24/2026, 5:06:44 AM2 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
05-17
05-21
05-25
05-29
06-03
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M20.8 / H65.2