@SteadyMoon
#2,469,641180xb9ebfbdff8b76de95c3b386145afe7856b24e3e8
~69d· 328 markets · 1721 tradesVol: $76,5072026-08-05 16:51:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (111/310)2.9/20
0.92x (win $1,792 / loss $1,938)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6040/15
Sortino -0.7460/10
$-0.0375 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 542 (310 markets)9.8/10
27/58 profitable days (47%)4.1/10
Max DD 242% of peak ($518 / $215)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,365,013$-18Vol: $42,232
🌤️ WEATHER#5,356$168Vol: $8,166
₿ CRYPTO#1,541,881$-214Vol: $7,739
💰 FINANCE#611,980$-37Vol: $7,128
🎭 CULTURE#20,109$105Vol: $3,852
⚽ SPORTS#1,632,968$-68Vol: $3,714
📈 ECONOMICS#547,063$-3Vol: $3,374
💻 TECH#19,792$8Vol: $214
📢 MENTIONS#65,083$-0Vol: $40
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-75
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,507
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
328
total markets
Trades
739B / 982S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d
Periods
#2Today
$-37
Vol: $388
Week
$-58
Vol: $1,451
Month
$28
Vol: $1,789
All Time
$-75
Vol: $76,507
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
111W / 199L events
Realized PnL
$-75
Win Rate
36%
111W / 199L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $568 (7.541390289201381% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?$237
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$178
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$153
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$152
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$104
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$35
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?$33
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-168
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?$-78
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$-58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-49
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-43
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?$-41
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-40
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?$-38
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.031
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
127
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
16.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.6
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 65s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active3.7 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.9%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)54.3%
Sessions
#125/15/2026, 5:36:49 AM105 trades$1,9823 min
5/12/2026, 11:16:06 PM21 trades$1,6273 min
7/16/2026, 10:13:29 AM11 trades$8163 min
7/16/2026, 9:59:16 AM8 trades$4782 min
5/13/2026, 2:17:31 AM59 trades$46818 min
5/13/2026, 4:44:58 AM60 trades$45126 min
5/14/2026, 9:25:24 PM21 trades$4411 min
7/19/2026, 11:21:31 AM15 trades$3845 min
5/14/2026, 4:07:01 PM16 trades$3511 min
7/20/2026, 10:38:28 AM2 trades$3000 min
5/31/2026, 4:12:23 PM10 trades$2680 min
7/16/2026, 9:41:47 AM5 trades$2662 min
7/18/2026, 8:54:16 AM4 trades$2370 min
7/20/2026, 11:01:42 AM12 trades$2250 min
5/14/2026, 3:39:37 AM45 trades$20330 min
7/21/2026, 1:41:51 AM2 trades$2000 min
5/14/2026, 2:04:22 PM62 trades$1979 min
7/18/2026, 8:39:55 AM2 trades$1800 min
7/30/2026, 12:09:56 AM9 trades$1793 min
7/4/2026, 12:35:22 PM42 trades$1643 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-31
06-17
06-26
07-09
07-21
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
20% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.9 / M20.8 / H54.3