@0xbDAf0b…7322

#2,925,37187

0x1f8298acbbca50270fe98e2d52998347e1a4efe0

~14d· 23 markets · 107 tradesVol: $15,6252026-08-05 17:25:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (13/23)13.3/20
1.91x (win $4,777 / loss $2,500)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.77215/15
Sortino 16.21910/10
$+0.6917 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 710 (23 markets)8.9/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($827 / $2,555)7.5/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,826,991$-989Vol: $15,625

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-989
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,625
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
71B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
13W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-989
Win Rate
57%
13W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.91x
Avg Win
$367
Avg Loss
$-250

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,368 (3.4057139967637537% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1,680
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$936
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$752
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$479
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals$198
Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists$184
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$160
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals$119
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$82
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals$50

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-637
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-468
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-289
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-257
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$-248
Spread: Japan (-1.5)$-174
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-135
Spread: Norway (-3.5)$-122
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-120
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?$-49

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.381
Sortino
0.968
HHI
837
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.628
Kelly %
34.5%
Half-Kelly
17.2%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
50.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3939s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.4%
High (>55c)28.2%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 6:04:05 AM6 trades$9001 min
6/20/2026, 4:33:17 PM6 trades$8005 min
6/14/2026, 3:42:13 PM7 trades$7557 min
7/6/2026, 11:05:20 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/14/2026, 3:26:31 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/6/2026, 11:51:08 AM3 trades$3970 min
6/25/2026, 4:42:41 AM7 trades$3960 min
6/20/2026, 4:26:41 PM8 trades$2661 min
6/25/2026, 7:08:38 AM2 trades$2300 min
6/27/2026, 3:06:07 PM5 trades$1840 min
6/21/2026, 3:29:16 PM6 trades$1769 min
7/6/2026, 2:57:26 AM2 trades$1700 min
6/24/2026, 5:51:07 AM1 trades$1420 min
6/29/2026, 2:44:38 PM1 trades$1290 min
6/16/2026, 3:08:16 PM1 trades$1240 min
6/16/2026, 9:01:18 AM8 trades$1220 min
6/25/2026, 7:23:46 AM5 trades$1201 min
6/22/2026, 6:01:40 PM1 trades$1140 min
6/27/2026, 10:17:16 AM1 trades$1000 min
6/21/2026, 8:18:50 PM1 trades$880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-16
06-20
06-21
06-25
06-27
06-29
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.4 / M39.4 / H28.2