JickNelson

@JickNelson

#366,08755

0xba745e788710f032a0e5031d4197ad0f3895cd0a

~35d· 37 markets · 118 tradesVol: $2,8812026-08-05 15:51:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (15/36)5.8/20
1.19x (win $512 / loss $429)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.22215/15
Sortino 2.09810/10
$+0.1221 per $1 invested6.1/10
HHI 498 (36 markets)10/10
12/29 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 92% of peak ($181 / $197)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+32
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
SPORTS#197,244$32Vol: $2,880
CRYPTO#657,315$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,881
Total Redeem
$68
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
53B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-41
Vol: $0
All Time
$32
Vol: $2,881

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
15W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$32
Win Rate
42%
15W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $248 (7.818525519848772% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$133
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$64
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$51
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)$45
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$38
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)$31
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)$28
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$26
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)$25
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)$21

Top Losers

UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)$-66
O/U 2.5 Rounds$-54
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-45
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$-45
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)$-36
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)$-26
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)$-24
O/U 2.5 Rounds$-23
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.120
HHI
591
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.7%
Top-5 markets
41.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19504s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)52.8%
High (>55c)34%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 11:23:07 AM2 trades$1670 min
4/26/2026, 3:35:06 AM6 trades$1211 min
6/20/2026, 1:55:13 PM2 trades$1140 min
7/5/2026, 3:18:50 PM2 trades$1040 min
5/30/2026, 2:54:59 PM2 trades$940 min
4/9/2026, 7:18:13 AM6 trades$585 min
7/7/2026, 3:56:16 PM2 trades$560 min
6/6/2026, 9:14:49 AM2 trades$550 min
4/21/2026, 2:53:16 PM5 trades$524 min
7/17/2026, 5:31:31 PM4 trades$510 min
5/30/2026, 6:23:54 AM3 trades$470 min
4/1/2026, 2:33:21 PM5 trades$381 min
5/21/2026, 12:18:52 PM4 trades$360 min
5/3/2026, 10:06:20 AM5 trades$362 min
4/11/2026, 1:46:49 PM2 trades$320 min
4/8/2026, 7:09:21 PM3 trades$320 min
4/13/2026, 8:50:47 AM2 trades$300 min
4/22/2026, 12:04:12 PM2 trades$300 min
7/5/2026, 3:29:46 PM2 trades$300 min
4/15/2026, 10:29:32 AM2 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
04-01
04-11
04-22
05-01
05-30
06-20
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.42/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.2 / M52.8 / H34