@willalways

#26,91786

0xbae50178b9b59459b718658fa4e1f57a95a245e3

~145d· 229 markets · 4271 tradesVol: $98,8352026-08-04 22:59:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (109/213)10.6/20
2.12x (win $17,475 / loss $8,261)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.29615/15
Sortino 8.66110/10
$+0.2669 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 244 (213 markets)10/10
52/97 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($2,045 / $9,977)9.9/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+4,658
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 18.9 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#9,061$2,948Vol: $51,689
🎭 CULTURE#765,242$-56Vol: $20,988
💰 FINANCE#2,533$1,837Vol: $15,993
📢 MENTIONS#138,588$-16Vol: $4,495
💻 TECH#243,046$-44Vol: $2,928
📈 ECONOMICS#651,401$-60Vol: $2,073
⚽ SPORTS#1,333,348$-10Vol: $292

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,658
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$98,835
Total Redeem
$192
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
229
total markets
Trades
2248B / 2023S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,658
Vol: $98,835

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
109W / 104L events
Realized PnL
$4,658
Win Rate
51%
109W / 104L
Profit Factor
2.12x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-83

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,344 (1.362008961446885% of PnL)

Top Winners

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$2,460
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?$2,132
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$1,753
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1,350
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1,224
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$1,111
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$911
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$853
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$517
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$498

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,263
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 13?$-799
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$-707
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$-705
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?$-678
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?$-569
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$-366
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?$-333
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$-314
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$-223

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.172
Sortino
0.351
HHI
254
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.269
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
26.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 462s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.9%
Mid (20-55c)29.8%
High (>55c)49.3%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 4:47:28 PM49 trades$1,7259 min
5/1/2026, 6:43:08 PM6 trades$1,6660 min
5/14/2026, 1:57:46 AM9 trades$1,0924 min
3/27/2026, 5:04:29 PM2 trades$1,0594 min
5/22/2026, 4:40:29 PM56 trades$1,0510 min
3/26/2026, 8:16:33 PM8 trades$68017 min
4/23/2026, 4:14:58 AM10 trades$6464 min
5/17/2026, 1:58:15 AM19 trades$6210 min
3/23/2026, 10:17:25 PM7 trades$60519 min
5/15/2026, 11:43:19 PM14 trades$5962 min
5/13/2026, 5:08:02 PM16 trades$5560 min
11/5/2025, 1:42:53 AM36 trades$54016 min
4/15/2026, 6:30:56 PM3 trades$5250 min
5/3/2026, 7:10:56 PM26 trades$5180 min
5/13/2026, 5:22:16 PM15 trades$5090 min
6/11/2026, 4:40:42 PM58 trades$5030 min
5/12/2026, 11:04:53 PM16 trades$5003 min
5/14/2026, 9:22:21 AM11 trades$5000 min
5/8/2026, 3:31:15 AM8 trades$4605 min
10/25/2025, 3:57:33 PM1 trades$4580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-26
10-23
11-16
03-23
05-01
05-23
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.9 / M29.8 / H49.3