@mantiss00

#2,730,79340

0xbb14cde6d45012362ab6a812f4217436028e14ff

~128d· 337 markets · 652 tradesVol: $29,4212026-08-05 17:29:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (294/334)20/20
0.52x (win $434 / loss $828)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7540/15
Sortino -1.7900/10
$-0.0162 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 68 (334 markets)10/10
90/115 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 881% of peak ($534 / $61)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Consistent
90/115 profitable days
Win Streak
32 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,553,972$-252Vol: $21,427
🏛️ POLITICS#121,820$25Vol: $6,852
SPORTS#322,811$6Vol: $994
💰 FINANCE#233,882$0Vol: $61
📈 ECONOMICS#106,509$1Vol: $49
💻 TECH#90,941$0Vol: $20
🎭 CULTURE#241,218$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-222
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,421
Total Redeem
$90
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
337
total markets
Trades
418B / 234S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~128d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $13
Month
$-2
Vol: $42
All Time
$-222
Vol: $29,421

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
294W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-222
Win Rate
88%
294W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $100 (0.4519776556446527% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$51
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$28
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$17
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?$16
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$10
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$8
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?$8

Top Losers

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-305
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-176
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-170
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-89
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-55
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$-5
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
59.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3593s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)96.4%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 11:33:37 PM2 trades$5940 min
6/5/2026, 11:15:24 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/4/2026, 8:31:45 PM7 trades$4250 min
6/7/2026, 6:35:34 AM1 trades$2990 min
6/14/2026, 10:56:07 PM7 trades$2957 min
6/15/2026, 5:53:03 PM2 trades$2830 min
6/12/2026, 8:39:00 PM2 trades$2710 min
1/21/2026, 11:27:34 AM2 trades$2542 min
1/20/2026, 12:44:40 PM2 trades$2185 min
5/19/2026, 3:09:28 PM4 trades$1920 min
4/24/2026, 10:03:28 AM2 trades$1800 min
1/29/2026, 11:45:04 AM1 trades$1760 min
1/29/2026, 11:29:46 AM1 trades$1750 min
4/9/2026, 5:19:57 PM3 trades$1740 min
4/10/2026, 9:39:25 AM3 trades$1730 min
4/10/2026, 12:49:41 PM2 trades$1730 min
4/10/2026, 10:23:27 AM2 trades$1720 min
2/9/2026, 4:00:07 PM1 trades$1700 min
2/9/2026, 3:00:03 PM1 trades$1670 min
2/9/2026, 11:30:01 AM1 trades$1610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
01-09
01-31
03-02
05-10
06-29
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 151 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M2.2 / H96.4