@caiyingying

#2,858,65810

0xbbf0f8571ef6762b7d4ac02211723f86bb169180

~36d· 169 markets · 856 tradesVol: $21,9812026-08-03 20:30:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (20/81)0/20
0.60x (win $441 / loss $734)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0550/15
Sortino -6.1510/10
$-0.0729 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 258 (81 markets)10/10
10/32 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($293 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,567,270$-216Vol: $7,637
💰 FINANCE#627,470$-80Vol: $4,247
₿ CRYPTO#1,459,397$-95Vol: $3,343
⚽ SPORTS#1,685,916$-106Vol: $2,773
📈 ECONOMICS#601,082$-10Vol: $868
🌤️ WEATHER#34,058$4Vol: $805
🎭 CULTURE#671,912$-8Vol: $693
💻 TECH#207,482$-3Vol: $238
📢 MENTIONS#109,969$-4Vol: $142

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-540
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,981
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
581B / 275S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-540
Vol: $21,981

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
20W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-540
Win Rate
25%
20W / 61L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $238 (0.44115358968659707% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$135
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$58
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?$34
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?$28
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$20
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?$18
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$17

Top Losers

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-58
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-37
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$-37
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$-34
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$-29
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$-26
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 20 and 21 cents?$-26
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-25
Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?$-24
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.260
Sortino
-0.362
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.186
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 951s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.9%
High (>55c)42%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 5:30:33 AM8 trades$4361 min
6/13/2026, 3:21:37 AM25 trades$2083 min
6/19/2026, 1:30:37 AM12 trades$1491 min
6/28/2026, 11:41:20 AM17 trades$1461 min
6/14/2026, 3:16:18 AM11 trades$1390 min
3/6/2026, 4:44:53 AM1 trades$1380 min
6/30/2026, 1:19:04 AM6 trades$1370 min
6/18/2026, 1:57:10 AM12 trades$897 min
6/25/2026, 2:27:23 AM7 trades$891 min
6/20/2026, 1:10:32 AM6 trades$692 min
6/17/2026, 1:40:25 PM4 trades$613 min
6/18/2026, 1:25:13 PM8 trades$592 min
6/20/2026, 10:04:05 PM4 trades$584 min
6/28/2026, 5:59:55 PM4 trades$580 min
6/22/2026, 7:52:35 AM5 trades$561 min
6/14/2026, 4:43:03 PM4 trades$552 min
6/24/2026, 6:04:01 PM4 trades$550 min
6/28/2026, 5:25:02 AM4 trades$540 min
6/19/2026, 1:46:01 AM6 trades$542 min
6/24/2026, 12:48:31 PM6 trades$540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-19
04-28
06-14
06-19
06-25
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.1 / M37.9 / H42