@millionchen

#148,78790

0xbc200cbd94c1f94b55ff51d5c12118467e4cab38

~66d· 66 markets · 253 tradesVol: $63,3672026-08-05 03:16:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (57/63)20/20
29.87x (win $437 / loss $15)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.52415/15
Sortino 163.01610/10
$+0.0080 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 422 (63 markets)10/10
36/40 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($11 / $422)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+287
DCA Master
Avg 5.0 entries/market
Whale
$52,985 invested
Consistent
36/40 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#90,889$105Vol: $32,675
💰 FINANCE#22,893$64Vol: $10,160
🏛️ POLITICS#89,773$51Vol: $9,398
📈 ECONOMICS#21,158$37Vol: $8,927
⚽ SPORTS#544,629$0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$287
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$63,367
Total Redeem
$121
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
124B / 129S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $276
Month
$2
Vol: $276
All Time
$287
Vol: $63,367

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
57W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$287
Win Rate
90%
57W / 6L
Profit Factor
29.87x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $173 (0.6005570060922542% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$49
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$47
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$12

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?$-5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 6?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.647
Sortino
3.865
HHI
685
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
76.3%
Half-Kelly
38.2%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
44.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.03
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
10/15/2025, 11:09:55 PM3 trades$10,2901 min
10/14/2025, 2:49:49 PM4 trades$10,2772 min
6/5/2026, 6:23:57 AM4 trades$2,3611 min
5/25/2026, 1:01:19 PM7 trades$2,1311 min
5/7/2026, 8:40:08 AM2 trades$2,0630 min
4/8/2026, 1:29:05 AM2 trades$2,0290 min
6/3/2026, 2:22:51 AM5 trades$1,6660 min
6/23/2026, 10:52:22 AM4 trades$1,6171 min
3/17/2026, 1:56:55 AM3 trades$1,2912 min
6/30/2026, 11:21:52 AM15 trades$1,1902 min
4/27/2026, 5:30:10 AM4 trades$1,1170 min
12/23/2025, 11:08:07 AM2 trades$1,0701 min
5/31/2026, 4:00:55 PM1 trades$1,0370 min
4/25/2026, 1:59:00 PM1 trades$1,0320 min
4/4/2026, 8:40:07 AM2 trades$1,0160 min
4/5/2026, 12:57:39 AM1 trades$1,0150 min
7/29/2026, 6:51:03 PM6 trades$1,0130 min
3/27/2026, 3:09:57 PM1 trades$1,0120 min
11/16/2025, 3:12:38 AM2 trades$9771 min
3/23/2026, 2:04:31 PM2 trades$9442 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
11-07
12-30
03-04
04-05
06-11
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100