@0xBCD202…1315

#101,7037

0xbcd20206536317f1573a1d38e745bf8bb4eb0eac

~49d· 57 markets · 318 tradesVol: $269,2152026-08-04 18:57:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (10/57)0/20
0.65x (win $4,822 / loss $7,434)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9310/15
Sortino -3.1770/10
$-0.2429 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1157 (57 markets)6.7/10
6/38 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 186% of peak ($5,654 / $3,042)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+659
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#806,381$-540Vol: $172,404
⚽ SPORTS#1,819,668$-837Vol: $40,278
🏛️ POLITICS#16,723$1,117Vol: $28,350
₿ CRYPTO#37,323$678Vol: $23,337
📈 ECONOMICS#7,425$242Vol: $4,845

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$659
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$269,215
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
126B / 192S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
10W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$659
Win Rate
18%
10W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$482
Avg Loss
$-165

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,386 (6.654588492352514% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$3,211
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$869
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$306
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?$154
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$93
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$50
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$46
Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?$36
Will another company be accused of insider trading?$34
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?$23

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,742
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-869
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-740
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$-687
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-485
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$-334
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$-300
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?$-253
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-238
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-225

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.100
Sortino
-0.174
HHI
1384
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.177
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
68.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.39
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)16.7%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 4:48:24 PM15 trades$6,6560 min
5/9/2026, 10:06:36 AM2 trades$3,8070 min
5/11/2026, 8:28:30 PM87 trades$2,6983 min
6/13/2026, 11:12:15 AM4 trades$2,4200 min
4/10/2026, 9:23:47 AM5 trades$1,5790 min
6/15/2026, 2:11:04 PM2 trades$1,3550 min
5/14/2026, 7:48:20 PM14 trades$1,0800 min
5/21/2026, 10:31:30 AM3 trades$1,0180 min
4/19/2026, 4:52:50 PM6 trades$8400 min
6/7/2026, 5:37:54 PM5 trades$8090 min
2/28/2026, 7:46:25 PM2 trades$5860 min
6/17/2026, 4:28:05 PM8 trades$5570 min
6/22/2026, 3:23:05 PM16 trades$5453 min
2/25/2026, 4:50:00 PM2 trades$5242 min
2/28/2026, 7:59:05 PM2 trades$4954 min
4/1/2026, 5:43:13 PM8 trades$4850 min
5/14/2026, 7:56:58 PM9 trades$4652 min
2/28/2026, 7:33:41 PM1 trades$4310 min
3/3/2026, 8:04:05 PM1 trades$3940 min
5/16/2026, 10:46:53 PM4 trades$3733 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-22
10-23
02-16
03-31
05-14
06-13
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69 / M14.3 / H16.7