@0xbcd7…5c78

#463,43179

0xbcd75a292410461f030e923280a4b16b940b5c78

~66d· 132 markets · 263 tradesVol: $4242026-08-04 23:19:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (79/102)20/20
1.30x (win $46 / loss $35)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.68115/15
Sortino 3.73010/10
$+0.0411 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 205 (102 markets)10/10
37/51 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($7 / $17)5.6/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+13
Consistent
37/51 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#147,936$15Vol: $377
🎭 CULTURE#164,212$1Vol: $16
SPORTS#1,120,562$-3Vol: $10
🌤️ WEATHER#69,414$0Vol: $8
📈 ECONOMICS#94,436$2Vol: $8
📢 MENTIONS#95,750$-2Vol: $4
💰 FINANCE#281,459$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$424
Total Redeem
$8
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
132
total markets
Trades
161B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $15
Month
$2
Vol: $21
All Time
$13
Vol: $424

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
79W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$13
Win Rate
77%
79W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11 (0.8039513677811551% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?$3
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$1
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$1

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$-4
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-4
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-4
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-4
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?$-2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-2
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$-2
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.139
Sortino
0.169
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
17.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)85.1%

Sessions

#12
1/11/2026, 5:57:32 AM4 trades$214 min
8/3/2026, 12:02:24 PM12 trades$194 min
5/14/2026, 7:04:10 PM12 trades$173 min
5/18/2026, 12:09:19 PM9 trades$142 min
2/26/2026, 10:48:22 AM5 trades$147 min
7/9/2026, 11:49:01 AM10 trades$135 min
4/5/2026, 7:24:49 AM14 trades$116 min
1/11/2026, 5:32:46 AM5 trades$1110 min
4/19/2026, 5:41:44 PM2 trades$100 min
5/1/2026, 4:36:10 PM11 trades$108 min
6/23/2026, 2:54:58 PM6 trades$94 min
1/11/2026, 5:49:18 AM2 trades$92 min
2/6/2026, 1:37:01 PM5 trades$99 min
6/8/2026, 4:39:27 AM2 trades$90 min
8/1/2026, 6:30:41 AM6 trades$71 min
2/1/2026, 9:09:10 AM2 trades$71 min
3/19/2026, 6:39:23 AM6 trades$74 min
3/1/2026, 6:16:21 PM7 trades$710 min
1/19/2026, 7:25:16 AM2 trades$61 min
3/23/2026, 3:28:49 PM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-26
03-07
03-28
04-13
05-14
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M11.8 / H85.1