@0xbCF96B…6412

#102,14331

0xbcf96b9cf8335f23d6c0904dea605dd144179b13

~49d· 153 markets · 1435 tradesVol: $147,6572026-08-05 16:36:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (79/135)14.3/20
0.65x (win $1,944 / loss $2,998)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4120/15
Sortino -3.7420/10
$-0.0293 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 378 (135 markets)10/10
21/36 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 638% of peak ($1,392 / $218)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+654
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.8 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,526,866$-104Vol: $64,058
🌤️ WEATHER#1,529$1,082Vol: $42,677
💻 TECH#254,753$-291Vol: $17,658
💰 FINANCE#36,641$25Vol: $8,285
🎭 CULTURE#794,393$-195Vol: $4,990
📈 ECONOMICS#11,071$123Vol: $4,799
⚽ SPORTS#353,986$4Vol: $1,747
₿ CRYPTO#631,306$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$654
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$147,657
Total Redeem
$610
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
939B / 496S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$33
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $0
All Time
$654
Vol: $147,657

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
79W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$654
Win Rate
59%
79W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-56

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $902 (1.3777584204413473% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$466
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$292
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$143
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$137
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$102
No one announced as next James Bond?$82
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$78
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$57
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$43
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$39

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-626
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-545
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$-506
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-349
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-266
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-62
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-53
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-36
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-36
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.176
Sortino
-0.155
HHI
436
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
34.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.3m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 3.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)54.1%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 6:52:56 PM6 trades$6,3292 min
7/7/2026, 12:42:31 AM2 trades$1,9622 min
7/12/2026, 2:58:28 PM17 trades$1,9534 min
6/28/2026, 3:16:58 PM36 trades$1,3759 min
6/18/2026, 12:34:35 AM27 trades$1,20110 min
6/30/2026, 8:59:28 PM4 trades$1,0970 min
7/2/2026, 8:32:38 PM3 trades$1,0972 min
6/19/2026, 7:13:29 AM18 trades$1,06815 min
6/17/2026, 6:59:11 PM45 trades$1,05725 min
7/1/2026, 9:45:43 PM2 trades$1,0210 min
6/28/2026, 2:21:43 PM5 trades$1,0160 min
6/22/2026, 7:22:53 PM33 trades$9195 min
7/15/2026, 7:01:23 PM11 trades$9013 min
7/7/2026, 6:41:28 PM1 trades$8880 min
6/19/2026, 9:45:19 AM36 trades$80818 min
6/17/2026, 6:30:47 PM27 trades$78014 min
7/2/2026, 8:11:44 PM4 trades$7372 min
6/28/2026, 8:37:43 PM9 trades$7201 min
7/2/2026, 11:43:43 PM3 trades$6821 min
7/6/2026, 6:42:23 PM2 trades$6100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-15
05-01
06-19
06-28
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.7 / M14.2 / H54.1