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#26,78092

0xbd109b7fc486d2dd78c7bea143cdd101007bfcdf

~18d· 158 markets · 1473 tradesVol: $144,9362026-08-04 18:12:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

97% (153/158)20/20
4.38x (win $3,566 / loss $814)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.54215/15
Sortino 21.68410/10
$+0.0605 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 115 (158 markets)10/10
11/14 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($646 / $2,751)9.3/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+4,687
DCA Master
Avg 9.4 entries/market
Consistent
11/14 profitable days
High Roller
$1,109/day
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
49 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
📢 MENTIONS#377$4,572Vol: $130,246
🏛️ POLITICS#58,332$120Vol: $8,374
🎭 CULTURE#759,122$-48Vol: $3,884
💰 FINANCE#29,553$39Vol: $2,006
⚽ SPORTS#345,171$4Vol: $426

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,687
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,936
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
327B / 1146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
97%
153W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$4,687
Win Rate
97%
153W / 5L
Profit Factor
4.38x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-163

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,333 (0.28428274880687476% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?$873
Will the announcers say "Save" or "Saves" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?$334
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$126
Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by July 31?$120
Will anyone say "Soaking Wet" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$119
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?$97
Will anyone say "We Are So Back" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$75
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?$69
Will anyone say "Sunny" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$66
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$62

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Star" this week?$-655
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$-67
Will the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$-48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-23
Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.532
Sortino
0.553
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.060
Kelly %
78.4%
Half-Kelly
39.2%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.4m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 61s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock36 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)95.1%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 7:01:40 PM137 trades$5,37613 min
6/18/2026, 5:59:50 PM109 trades$4,0662 min
6/19/2026, 2:49:08 AM99 trades$2,52912 min
7/4/2026, 7:03:35 PM91 trades$2,5224 min
6/15/2026, 3:26:09 AM65 trades$2,1472 min
6/19/2026, 1:03:23 AM42 trades$1,91413 min
6/18/2026, 5:43:13 PM31 trades$1,57110 min
7/4/2026, 8:32:23 PM65 trades$1,4904 min
6/19/2026, 2:25:44 AM28 trades$1,1535 min
6/19/2026, 1:29:38 AM15 trades$1,1261 min
7/8/2026, 2:47:22 AM2 trades$1,1150 min
6/19/2026, 1:49:07 AM26 trades$1,0891 min
6/18/2026, 4:01:29 PM22 trades$1,0411 min
7/5/2026, 3:02:32 PM15 trades$9620 min
7/4/2026, 10:02:38 PM40 trades$8842 min
6/19/2026, 3:07:23 AM22 trades$8743 min
6/18/2026, 7:51:08 PM15 trades$8745 min
6/18/2026, 4:40:16 PM11 trades$7890 min
7/3/2026, 4:49:58 AM34 trades$7349 min
6/15/2026, 7:46:40 PM28 trades$7291 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-16
06-18
07-02
07-04
07-06
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M2.1 / H95.1