@rajonrondough

#2,911,27726

0xbd30a89c6233bea3fff02372ee86edb72b74c3a0

~28d· 143 markets · 257 tradesVol: $44,7462026-08-05 16:34:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (75/143)11.2/20
0.99x (win $5,383 / loss $5,455)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2190/15
Sortino -0.3550/10
$-0.0060 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 120 (143 markets)10/10
11/27 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 186% of peak ($1,372 / $738)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,651,158$-81Vol: $40,916
🏛️ POLITICS#1,479,416$-58Vol: $1,404

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-863
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,746
Total Redeem
$153
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
167B / 90S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-53
Vol: $120
Week
$17
Vol: $2,056
Month
$2
Vol: $3,266
All Time
$-863
Vol: $44,746

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
75W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-863
Win Rate
52%
75W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-80

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $679 (0.7870596826353552% of PnL)

Top Winners

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$259
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquet$231
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi$189
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$160
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters$147
Lakers vs. Rockets$141
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$130
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5$125
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)$120
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones$112

Top Losers

Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 5.5 Corners$-263
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox$-263
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi$-260
O/U 1.5 Rounds$-222
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicans$-220
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-195
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-174
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks$-155
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)$-152
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Talia Gibson$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.011
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
97
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 914s — normal for humanCV 0.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.84
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)53.3%
High (>55c)42.5%

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 11:11:33 PM3 trades$6520 min
4/12/2026, 8:17:15 AM9 trades$4180 min
3/19/2026, 4:47:53 AM2 trades$4043 min
3/25/2026, 1:59:09 AM2 trades$3620 min
3/18/2026, 7:47:09 PM5 trades$3537 min
3/24/2026, 7:41:39 PM4 trades$3518 min
3/22/2026, 9:02:51 PM1 trades$3370 min
3/18/2026, 6:51:39 PM2 trades$3215 min
3/20/2026, 4:40:01 AM2 trades$3190 min
3/20/2026, 3:08:23 AM2 trades$3080 min
7/20/2026, 7:53:21 AM14 trades$3002 min
3/20/2026, 7:12:41 PM1 trades$2830 min
3/20/2026, 2:43:35 AM1 trades$2790 min
7/17/2026, 5:14:37 PM2 trades$2700 min
3/19/2026, 4:14:23 AM1 trades$2660 min
3/22/2026, 9:35:19 AM2 trades$2510 min
8/3/2026, 7:43:27 AM2 trades$2500 min
3/19/2026, 11:30:49 PM3 trades$2465 min
3/18/2026, 7:14:15 AM2 trades$2432 min
6/24/2026, 7:51:10 PM7 trades$2350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
03-20
03-24
04-02
06-26
07-18
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 115 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M53.3 / H42.5