@0xbd36…b914

#2,812,88324

0xbd3674089bb0c2e7d42b91f386dd971a5b09b914

~70d· 82 markets · 269 tradesVol: $72,0662026-08-04 22:40:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (41/78)11.3/20
0.49x (win $616 / loss $1,263)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2240/15
Sortino -4.9540/10
$-0.0786 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 712 (78 markets)8.9/10
23/50 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 300% of peak ($974 / $325)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,539,875$-127Vol: $39,733
🎭 CULTURE#793,219$-183Vol: $30,367
⚽ SPORTS#234,493$19Vol: $1,482
📈 ECONOMICS#172,193$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-376
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,066
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
154B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-376
Vol: $72,066

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
41W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-376
Win Rate
53%
41W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $265 (0.7047586151924967% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the government shutdown end November 13?$101
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$83
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$81
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$73
Lakers vs. Timberwolves$41
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?$34
49ers vs. Eagles$22
Will the government shutdown end November 14?$22
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$19
Nuggets vs. Warriors$14

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-245
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-133
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$-102
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$-100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-84
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$-72
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$-50
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$-39
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.232
HHI
472
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
43.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
66%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2016s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)66% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)64.9%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 12:32:31 AM19 trades$2,6298 min
5/1/2026, 4:50:32 AM13 trades$2,4600 min
2/25/2026, 7:42:46 PM4 trades$1,3216 min
10/18/2025, 12:03:37 AM2 trades$8200 min
11/13/2025, 4:41:58 AM3 trades$5971 min
5/1/2026, 4:58:24 AM21 trades$5636 min
11/13/2025, 5:01:20 AM1 trades$5420 min
6/9/2026, 2:36:24 AM5 trades$5320 min
11/13/2025, 4:50:20 AM3 trades$5241 min
1/24/2026, 1:17:50 AM5 trades$4029 min
11/10/2025, 11:52:00 PM1 trades$3000 min
11/12/2025, 2:48:18 PM1 trades$3000 min
12/18/2025, 2:21:58 AM1 trades$2480 min
11/13/2025, 6:18:58 AM1 trades$2410 min
11/13/2025, 4:13:54 AM2 trades$2100 min
11/13/2025, 6:03:46 AM2 trades$2001 min
11/25/2025, 1:48:19 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/18/2025, 12:51:56 AM2 trades$2001 min
2/25/2026, 7:54:52 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/16/2026, 3:38:24 AM2 trades$1990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
10-30
11-22
12-22
01-16
01-29
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 207 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.2 / M16.9 / H64.9