@liberateme

#12,10328

0xbd38f8143f87f484d7f039626b5064b10f0e99d4

~92d· 758 markets · 5438 tradesVol: $1,663,0032026-08-06 15:53:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (447/750)14.8/20
0.62x (win $255,523 / loss $413,207)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3620/15
Sortino -1.3760/10
$-0.2030 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1159 (750 markets)6.7/10
41/75 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 248% of peak ($276,247 / $111,510)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+12,379
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market
Whale
$776,946 invested
High Roller
$5,755/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,988$-31,486Vol: $753,839
SPORTS#2,596$22,095Vol: $622,480
📈 ECONOMICS#422$16,793Vol: $245,405

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,379
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,663,003
Total Redeem
$77,987
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
758
total markets
Trades
2747B / 2691S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$-514
Vol: $1,400
Week
$986
Vol: $15,294
Month
$1,022
Vol: $18,294
All Time
$12,379
Vol: $1,663,003

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
447W / 303L events
Realized PnL
$12,379
Win Rate
60%
447W / 303L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$572
Avg Loss
$-1,440

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50,121 (4.048729576859508% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$18,096
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$16,861
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$15,163
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 254.5$14,968
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10,620
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7,054
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$4,307
Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)$4,109
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves$3,183
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)$3,029

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-252,278
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-18,492
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-5,874
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5$-3,569
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)$-3,093
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-2,458
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-2,440
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5$-2,312
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,180
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$-2,152

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
2900
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.128
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.5%
Top-5 markets
103.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 4.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency5.6 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.02
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)68.3%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 12:05:38 AM4 trades$53,9240 min
6/17/2026, 1:28:43 AM6 trades$40,2333 min
6/14/2026, 9:43:48 PM51 trades$37,3477 min
6/14/2026, 10:28:54 PM22 trades$33,5399 min
6/14/2026, 9:36:48 PM18 trades$26,2281 min
5/28/2026, 4:43:18 AM29 trades$23,1158 min
6/14/2026, 10:52:31 PM37 trades$22,4416 min
3/29/2026, 7:14:46 PM5 trades$18,1435 min
4/26/2026, 3:01:52 PM2 trades$13,1421 min
4/24/2026, 2:05:52 PM1 trades$12,7500 min
5/13/2026, 5:05:16 AM45 trades$12,12519 min
4/30/2026, 1:02:40 AM67 trades$12,09936 min
6/14/2026, 3:51:42 PM80 trades$11,97035 min
6/16/2026, 5:41:42 AM7 trades$11,1693 min
5/12/2026, 5:12:50 PM1 trades$9,8600 min
6/14/2026, 2:53:33 PM9 trades$9,4935 min
4/30/2026, 4:14:52 PM37 trades$9,15124 min
5/23/2026, 10:53:01 PM9 trades$9,0350 min
4/24/2026, 7:05:18 PM7 trades$7,9870 min
7/29/2026, 2:15:39 PM2 trades$7,6990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-07
04-27
05-09
05-22
06-06
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M27.8 / H68.3