@theginth
#128,623700xbd62de58a6e2aec9a1537af10116ff466da36a7e
~110d· 164 markets · 1174 tradesVol: $166,3822026-08-03 19:26:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (53/110)9.1/20
1.43x (win $9,472 / loss $6,614)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.60315/15
Sortino 3.73410/10
$+0.0696 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 399 (110 markets)10/10
32/57 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($1,318 / $4,177)7.7/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+395
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.4 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#13,203$1,637Vol: $109,745
⚽ SPORTS#1,844,671$-1,543Vol: $36,966
📈 ECONOMICS#663,403$-129Vol: $9,200
₿ CRYPTO#51,577$332Vol: $3,255
🎭 CULTURE#12,792$230Vol: $2,597
💰 FINANCE#641,563$-199Vol: $2,000
Overview
#1Net PnL
$395
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$166,382
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
164
total markets
Trades
811B / 363S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $5
Week
$-2
Vol: $226
Month
$-83
Vol: $231
All Time
$395
Vol: $166,382
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
53W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$395
Win Rate
48%
53W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$179
Avg Loss
$-120
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,412 (8.636575363272746% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1,629
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$1,007
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$775
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$750
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$730
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$680
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$623
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?$559
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$286
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$245
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,209
Spurs vs. Knicks$-1,105
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$-1,089
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$-832
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$-302
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$-300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-210
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?$-199
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$-150
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-125
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.142
HHI
235
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.095
Kelly %
0.6%
Half-Kelly
0.3%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
27%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 518s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.36
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.3%
High (>55c)45.7%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 2:41:24 AM12 trades$5,3203 min
1/26/2026, 8:58:35 PM1 trades$2,1210 min
6/5/2026, 11:47:31 PM8 trades$1,5610 min
7/8/2026, 5:06:02 PM7 trades$1,5402 min
11/9/2024, 3:27:57 PM3 trades$1,3562 min
1/29/2026, 6:59:56 PM3 trades$1,2052 min
7/6/2026, 9:37:04 PM4 trades$1,2003 min
2/12/2026, 8:16:53 PM1 trades$1,1480 min
5/28/2026, 4:50:55 AM12 trades$1,0821 min
5/19/2026, 5:28:49 AM21 trades$1,0408 min
6/18/2026, 6:07:56 AM24 trades$1,03612 min
7/19/2026, 8:43:07 PM4 trades$9950 min
2/9/2026, 2:32:11 AM8 trades$9803 min
2/8/2026, 10:27:29 PM3 trades$8523 min
2/12/2026, 4:45:49 PM6 trades$82013 min
12/4/2024, 7:39:14 PM3 trades$7973 min
6/24/2026, 1:19:16 AM16 trades$7495 min
2/3/2026, 10:22:52 AM1 trades$7330 min
1/26/2025, 5:04:24 AM10 trades$6918 min
6/19/2026, 7:28:29 PM6 trades$6811 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-20
12-27
07-05
02-03
06-02
06-12
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.9 / M30.3 / H45.7