@0xbd84…1292

#146,10959

0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292

~109d· 365 markets · 1640 tradesVol: $26,3642026-08-05 17:26:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (133/283)8.5/20
1.23x (win $2,515 / loss $2,046)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.29515/15
Sortino 2.08510/10
$+0.0704 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 90 (283 markets)10/10
47/85 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($795 / $822)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+299
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#31,000$392Vol: $16,877
💰 FINANCE#592,779$-18Vol: $2,989
📈 ECONOMICS#10,056$145Vol: $2,143
SPORTS#247,469$16Vol: $1,712
CRYPTO#1,536,069$-200Vol: $1,541
🎭 CULTURE#666,344$-7Vol: $766
🌤️ WEATHER#181,229$-1Vol: $49
📢 MENTIONS#137,356$-15Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$299
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,364
Total Redeem
$164
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
365
total markets
Trades
900B / 740S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $0
All Time
$299
Vol: $26,364

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
133W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$299
Win Rate
47%
133W / 150L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $827 (2.768769673832965% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$413
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$258
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$156
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$61
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$60
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?$60
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$51
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$49
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$44

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-152
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-119
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-113
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-73
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-57
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.067
Sortino
0.083
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
13.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.4%
Mid (20-55c)38%
High (>55c)43.6%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 7:13:41 AM39 trades$45012 min
4/7/2026, 10:38:51 PM41 trades$43225 min
5/6/2026, 1:38:58 PM55 trades$39412 min
4/8/2026, 7:10:27 PM29 trades$36916 min
4/8/2026, 8:07:53 AM27 trades$32711 min
5/23/2026, 9:10:51 PM40 trades$31922 min
5/11/2026, 12:36:16 PM38 trades$31320 min
4/18/2026, 5:49:36 PM29 trades$28621 min
4/1/2026, 5:10:21 AM54 trades$28423 min
4/2/2026, 4:33:29 AM30 trades$2597 min
6/10/2026, 10:44:19 AM25 trades$2547 min
4/4/2026, 10:58:43 PM5 trades$2200 min
4/15/2026, 7:12:00 PM26 trades$18911 min
4/8/2026, 6:43:11 PM18 trades$17311 min
5/13/2026, 1:35:14 PM14 trades$1624 min
5/9/2026, 8:03:47 PM17 trades$1506 min
5/5/2026, 8:48:30 PM23 trades$14614 min
4/30/2026, 5:37:22 AM18 trades$1454 min
4/8/2026, 7:01:49 PM2 trades$1420 min
5/6/2026, 9:05:42 PM12 trades$1413 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
03-17
04-02
04-22
05-12
06-12
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.4 / M38 / H43.6