bernardiii

@bernardiii

#27,90865

0xbdbc436a356827b5f22b98e99cc746f48dbde435

~18d· 28 markets · 239 tradesVol: $39,5732026-08-04 19:06:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (17/24)20/20
1.13x (win $931 / loss $827)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.85115/15
Sortino 1.14610/10
$+0.0203 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 1390 (24 markets)5.6/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($415 / $496)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+4,457
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Consistent
8/12 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#7,286$4,041Vol: $23,951
📢 MENTIONS#4,507$164Vol: $14,697
SPORTS#78,932$253Vol: $924

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,457
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,573
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
134B / 105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,457
Vol: $39,573

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
17W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$4,457
Win Rate
71%
17W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-118

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $624 (0.1399158674070335% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$384
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$156
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$84
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$58
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$48
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$39
Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$23
Will the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$23
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?$22
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$21

Top Losers

Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$-392
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?$-359
Will the announcers say "Set Piece" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$-46
Will the announcers say "Energy" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$-17
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$-9
Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$-5
Will the announcers say "History" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.043
Sortino
0.047
HHI
371
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
36.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 827s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity9 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.54
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)50.7%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 10:49:26 PM3 trades$2,0080 min
6/20/2026, 7:02:20 PM2 trades$6190 min
6/27/2026, 1:32:14 AM1 trades$5850 min
6/24/2026, 1:30:44 AM7 trades$5453 min
6/22/2026, 3:29:02 PM8 trades$4660 min
7/5/2026, 5:46:58 PM14 trades$4311 min
6/30/2026, 10:18:17 PM6 trades$4080 min
7/9/2026, 4:20:56 PM17 trades$3480 min
7/8/2026, 5:05:32 PM14 trades$2961 min
6/22/2026, 6:31:38 PM3 trades$2030 min
7/11/2026, 2:54:10 PM6 trades$1940 min
6/30/2026, 4:07:10 PM2 trades$1860 min
6/17/2026, 11:57:07 PM2 trades$1780 min
6/18/2026, 12:28:01 AM2 trades$1680 min
7/10/2026, 9:00:35 PM3 trades$1670 min
6/30/2026, 10:08:31 AM3 trades$1530 min
7/10/2026, 1:42:38 AM7 trades$1524 min
7/8/2026, 7:13:47 AM2 trades$1510 min
6/18/2026, 9:32:10 PM2 trades$1500 min
6/30/2026, 4:59:31 PM1 trades$1490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-20
06-22
06-30
07-06
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.1 / M23.1 / H50.7