@0xbddc2a…7489

#22,00966

0xbddc2a7690bf600e347d5eb4a9c28f9f24e55d4f

~64d· 249 markets · 1491 tradesVol: $212,4442026-08-04 22:10:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (80/249)1.1/20
1.71x (win $12,091 / loss $7,072)11.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.38215/15
Sortino 11.54010/10
$+0.4153 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 280 (249 markets)10/10
24/61 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($1,948 / $5,019)6.2/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+5,912
Contrarian
82% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#330$5,986Vol: $212,444

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,986
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$212,444
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
249
total markets
Trades
347B / 1144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$190
Vol: $4,979
Week
$-703
Vol: $20,372
Month
$1,865
Vol: $27,211
All Time
$5,986
Vol: $212,444

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
80W / 169L events
Realized PnL
$5,912
Win Rate
32%
80W / 169L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$151
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,289 (0.8947015879674424% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?$2,925
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?$1,306
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?$1,059
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 23?$694
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$659
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?$600
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 23?$492
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?$377
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4?$344
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?$326

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3?$-749
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?$-621
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 21?$-400
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?$-390
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27?$-328
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?$-303
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 23?$-265
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 23?$-243
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 21?$-236
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?$-225

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.575
HHI
328
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.415
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
32.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4843s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.99
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)73.2%
High (>55c)17.9%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 5:03:36 AM8 trades$1,2070 min
7/19/2026, 12:05:46 PM20 trades$1,2000 min
7/23/2026, 2:04:12 PM2 trades$9221 min
8/1/2026, 5:14:24 AM23 trades$8520 min
7/21/2026, 11:01:25 AM11 trades$7790 min
8/2/2026, 10:17:26 PM32 trades$6440 min
7/22/2026, 2:59:01 PM17 trades$5890 min
7/23/2026, 2:10:37 AM7 trades$5840 min
7/19/2026, 2:37:58 PM3 trades$5760 min
7/20/2026, 2:27:49 PM1 trades$5700 min
7/20/2026, 12:22:25 PM20 trades$5210 min
7/10/2026, 5:49:35 AM2 trades$5010 min
8/3/2026, 1:03:54 AM14 trades$4940 min
8/2/2026, 12:57:08 PM18 trades$4690 min
6/26/2026, 12:22:14 PM9 trades$3885 min
7/27/2026, 5:00:43 AM20 trades$3810 min
8/2/2026, 12:54:18 AM14 trades$3550 min
7/10/2026, 1:43:11 PM10 trades$3410 min
7/27/2026, 5:15:49 AM17 trades$3190 min
6/22/2026, 10:46:31 PM7 trades$3100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
05-10
06-15
06-25
07-09
07-21
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.99/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.9 / M73.2 / H17.9