@0xbdeace…4765

#2,889,29182

0xbdeacec02f5f389577ff4fe9a9e69b3ba1f127c6

~13d· 20 markets · 129 tradesVol: $67,1362026-08-05 16:36:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (10/19)11.3/20
9.82x (win $3,833 / loss $390)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.90515/15
Sortino 86.08410/10
$+0.4075 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1968 (19 markets)2.7/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($270 / $3,712)10/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,452,882$-44Vol: $32,940
⚽ SPORTS#1,808,369$-632Vol: $32,882
📈 ECONOMICS#517,668$-2Vol: $1,118
₿ CRYPTO#1,215,235$-15Vol: $196

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-693
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,136
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
50B / 79S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
10W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-693
Win Rate
53%
10W / 9L
Profit Factor
9.82x
Avg Win
$383
Avg Loss
$-65

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,618 (5.221834086349005% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2,245
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?$741
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$632
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$141
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$16
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$1
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?$0
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?$0
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?$0

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-270
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-92
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$-11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?$-6
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.534
Sortino
inf
HHI
3040
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.336
Kelly %
37.5%
Half-Kelly
18.8%
Top-1 market
39.2%
Top-5 markets
112.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4534s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.32
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)24%
High (>55c)58%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 3:40:16 PM2 trades$3,5000 min
7/10/2026, 9:18:02 PM2 trades$3,2990 min
7/10/2026, 2:36:23 PM2 trades$1,6320 min
7/12/2026, 12:54:05 AM2 trades$1,3030 min
7/19/2026, 6:47:19 PM2 trades$1,1680 min
7/14/2026, 9:00:07 PM2 trades$1,1360 min
7/10/2026, 7:31:16 PM2 trades$6330 min
7/10/2026, 8:46:50 PM4 trades$5570 min
7/19/2026, 7:39:04 PM4 trades$3483 min
7/3/2026, 8:39:46 AM9 trades$3160 min
7/9/2026, 11:27:02 AM2 trades$2750 min
7/4/2026, 9:44:13 PM9 trades$27312 min
7/3/2026, 7:51:35 AM2 trades$2090 min
6/30/2026, 5:49:08 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/4/2026, 2:09:41 AM9 trades$1624 min
7/8/2026, 2:33:47 PM2 trades$1500 min
7/8/2026, 2:22:19 PM2 trades$1440 min
7/3/2026, 6:35:11 AM9 trades$1070 min
7/9/2026, 11:37:43 PM5 trades$1020 min
7/4/2026, 9:35:14 PM2 trades$1020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-04
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-12
07-14
07-15
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M24 / H58