@Randy42132

#3,012,72820

0xbdfab28bbd99b7f0a8d1dbc58493db9b55874a1c

~42d· 60 markets · 552 tradesVol: $156,8432026-08-04 23:40:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (28/55)10.5/20
0.69x (win $4,158 / loss $6,036)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4750/15
Sortino -1.8820/10
$-0.0657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1569 (55 markets)4.7/10
14/28 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 236% of peak ($3,272 / $1,386)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.1 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,911$-2,113Vol: $86,480
💰 FINANCE#6,818$507Vol: $60,058
🎭 CULTURE#809,666$-845Vol: $3,221
📈 ECONOMICS#13,876$83Vol: $3,086
₿ CRYPTO#1,447,577$-84Vol: $2,082
💻 TECH#197,465$-2Vol: $1,878
📢 MENTIONS#148,747$-28Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$156,843
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
335B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $3,000
Week
$2
Vol: $3,000
Month
$6
Vol: $3,465
All Time
$-2,482
Vol: $156,843

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
28W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-2,482
Win Rate
52%
28W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$149
Avg Loss
$-232

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,092 (1.2456455609500596% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,348
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,241
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$503
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$222
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$219
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$135
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$86
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$38

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-3,084
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-1,229
Peter Attia out by February 15?$-848
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-188
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$-124
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$-118
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-116
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-83
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$-49
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.074
HHI
6398
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.043
Kelly %
6.3%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
77%
Top-5 markets
114.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 3.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.5%
Mid (20-55c)32.2%
High (>55c)29.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:52:07 PM16 trades$5,4311 min
4/7/2026, 10:57:59 PM13 trades$5,0244 min
4/8/2026, 12:24:43 AM7 trades$5,0060 min
4/2/2026, 6:40:07 PM26 trades$2,8539 min
4/7/2026, 9:14:31 PM16 trades$1,6213 min
1/18/2026, 9:02:10 PM2 trades$1,5622 min
1/16/2026, 6:26:12 AM7 trades$1,5305 min
4/7/2026, 4:46:51 PM29 trades$1,5022 min
1/18/2026, 9:33:50 PM8 trades$1,1357 min
1/16/2026, 6:46:56 AM3 trades$1,1005 min
3/29/2026, 10:26:22 PM4 trades$1,0391 min
1/18/2026, 3:49:26 AM3 trades$9931 min
4/5/2026, 2:51:37 AM17 trades$9064 min
1/15/2026, 4:42:26 PM4 trades$9006 min
4/3/2026, 8:27:37 PM6 trades$8361 min
1/16/2026, 1:53:52 PM2 trades$8212 min
4/4/2026, 2:31:25 PM14 trades$7745 min
3/30/2026, 12:48:14 AM4 trades$7112 min
4/7/2026, 9:58:57 PM8 trades$7050 min
4/3/2026, 3:57:53 PM10 trades$6844 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
01-20
01-27
02-04
02-17
04-02
04-08
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.05/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.5 / M32.2 / H29.3