smokyCappuccino

@smokyCappuccino

#3,012,61749

0xbe8a90b241758e4f378a07cfd05b1e22419697c0

~255d· 446 markets · 4878 tradesVol: $1,543,123 @smokyCappuccino2026-08-05 17:24:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (350/442)20/20
1.05x (win $13,522 / loss $12,899)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1863.5/15
Sortino 0.2412.4/10
$+0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 100 (442 markets)10/10
176/223 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($3,602 / $4,225)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Whale
$972,773 invested
Consistent
176/223 profitable days
High Roller
$1,707/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,599,570$-596Vol: $1,514,323
💰 FINANCE#655,597$-1,416Vol: $22,553
🏛️ POLITICS#1,575,461$-263Vol: $4,469
📈 ECONOMICS#574,708$-5Vol: $1,237
🎭 CULTURE#767,149$-56Vol: $247
💻 TECH#245,623$-57Vol: $176
⚽ SPORTS#459,334$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,543,123
Total Redeem
$218,998
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
446
total markets
Trades
3145B / 1733S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~255d

Periods

#2
Today
$-100
Vol: $350
Week
$47
Vol: $350
Month
$47
Vol: $350
All Time
$-2,435
Vol: $1,543,123

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
350W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$-2,435
Win Rate
79%
350W / 92L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-159

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,258 (1.3380936538643204% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$1,439
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$1,003
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$816
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?$650
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$603
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?$514
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$462
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?$443
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?$241
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?$237

Top Losers

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026?$-1,634
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$-1,509
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$-1,105
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$-1,091
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$-968
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?$-712
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?$-509
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-498
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4AM ET$-491
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?$-401

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.010
Sortino
0.006
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 2.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.5%
High (>55c)93.9%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 2:13:44 PM37 trades$22,3576 min
5/18/2026, 12:25:00 PM121 trades$18,11641 min
5/7/2026, 6:37:29 AM31 trades$17,67711 min
5/13/2026, 3:30:55 PM19 trades$17,6480 min
5/4/2026, 2:53:24 PM17 trades$16,3480 min
4/25/2026, 8:46:34 AM8 trades$15,8185 min
6/9/2026, 2:08:33 PM22 trades$15,6361 min
5/16/2026, 11:36:42 AM11 trades$15,3352 min
4/3/2026, 7:32:47 AM10 trades$14,5762 min
4/29/2026, 11:18:10 AM26 trades$14,46711 min
5/8/2026, 8:38:24 AM32 trades$14,0178 min
5/15/2026, 1:34:03 PM24 trades$13,5464 min
6/19/2026, 6:09:56 AM2 trades$13,3950 min
4/24/2026, 9:50:02 AM78 trades$12,97226 min
5/15/2026, 2:13:18 PM20 trades$12,9350 min
6/5/2026, 6:38:39 PM18 trades$12,36211 min
5/8/2026, 6:34:09 AM22 trades$11,20118 min
5/15/2026, 1:45:48 PM38 trades$10,86111 min
6/20/2026, 9:11:35 AM12 trades$10,0003 min
6/5/2026, 11:27:55 AM8 trades$9,7900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
10-06
12-26
02-11
03-22
05-16
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M3.5 / H93.9