@AnonymousElephant69

#3,057,82926

0xbeb9d19f10274da29f21625a2c91fa5a00fd3870

~190d· 209 markets · 3121 tradesVol: $935,0652026-08-04 18:59:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (105/205)10.6/20
0.75x (win $71,071 / loss $94,336)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4000/15
Sortino -1.6400/10
$-0.0777 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 211 (205 markets)10/10
60/116 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 4280% of peak ($42,074 / $983)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 15.6 entries/market
Whale
$299,510 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#652,053$-673Vol: $374,702
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,711$-17,573Vol: $315,291
💻 TECH#372$5,247Vol: $120,354
📈 ECONOMICS#1,219$4,075Vol: $47,799
🎭 CULTURE#59,105$14Vol: $8,498
SPORTS#87,213$202Vol: $3,235
CRYPTO#57,683$260Vol: $2,000
📢 MENTIONS#11,591$32Vol: $326

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,727
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$935,065
Total Redeem
$14,317
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
209
total markets
Trades
1833B / 1288S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~190d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,824
Vol: $10,196
Week
$-1,637
Vol: $20,757
Month
$-8,257
Vol: $20,757
All Time
$-9,727
Vol: $935,065

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
105W / 100L events
Realized PnL
$-9,727
Win Rate
51%
105W / 100L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$677
Avg Loss
$-953

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,168 (2.2790663485134632% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9,420
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$6,825
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5,924
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4,208
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?$2,604
OpenAI browser by October 31?$1,792
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1,772
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$1,350
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,348
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$1,320

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-18,057
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-8,452
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$-7,383
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-7,317
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?$-6,304
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$-4,036
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$-3,555
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$-2,371
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-2,094
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-1,972

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.073
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 2.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.1%
Mid (20-55c)44%
High (>55c)39.9%

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 12:47:12 PM180 trades$22,0521 min
5/19/2026, 2:08:27 PM11 trades$19,2473 min
5/5/2026, 4:35:20 PM75 trades$13,5818 min
2/16/2026, 6:12:33 AM10 trades$11,6756 min
12/9/2025, 6:44:59 AM9 trades$10,4906 min
6/13/2026, 3:10:24 AM10 trades$10,1310 min
3/1/2026, 7:05:47 AM1 trades$9,9700 min
4/13/2026, 2:21:15 AM5 trades$9,9110 min
8/6/2025, 9:24:10 PM5 trades$9,7192 min
5/5/2026, 5:50:32 PM40 trades$9,07211 min
3/17/2026, 4:09:17 AM153 trades$8,31616 min
6/16/2026, 2:48:58 AM2 trades$8,2070 min
4/29/2026, 4:12:26 PM2 trades$7,4860 min
2/28/2026, 9:21:49 PM10 trades$6,7201 min
5/5/2026, 10:13:50 PM27 trades$5,3382 min
6/10/2026, 11:51:04 PM77 trades$5,27413 min
11/5/2025, 3:56:45 AM3 trades$5,1644 min
2/19/2026, 4:21:40 PM53 trades$4,7300 min
5/23/2026, 8:26:31 PM11 trades$4,6430 min
11/5/2025, 2:50:23 AM9 trades$4,07814 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
11-06
01-08
02-28
03-28
05-09
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.58/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.1 / M44 / H39.9