@0xBEd033…6074

#192,26271

0xbed03391979811cf85eee95ccf5eade3397de918

~39d· 43 markets · 280 tradesVol: $2,7792026-08-06 07:12:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (15/33)7.7/20
2.14x (win $173 / loss $80)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.92715/15
Sortino 11.36010/10
$+0.1309 per $1 invested6.5/10
HHI 1885 (33 markets)3.1/10
10/20 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($23 / $92)9/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+159
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#17,075$140Vol: $2,393
🏛️ POLITICS#116,179$28Vol: $182
₿ CRYPTO#978,419$-3Vol: $117
💻 TECH#231,722$-14Vol: $46
🌤️ WEATHER#63,079$1Vol: $22
📈 ECONOMICS#95,807$2Vol: $10
⚽ SPORTS#319,380$6Vol: $7
💰 FINANCE#405,793$-0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$159
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,779
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
170B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-89
Vol: $338
Month
$-49
Vol: $338
All Time
$159
Vol: $2,779

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
15W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$159
Win Rate
45%
15W / 18L
Profit Factor
2.14x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $149 (0.938383267382702% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$82
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$42
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$7
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$7
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1

Top Losers

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$-22
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$-16
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$-13
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$-10
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?$-4
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$-4
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-2
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.200
Sortino
0.559
HHI
884
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.199
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.9%
Top-5 markets
49.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 576s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.67
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)48.8%
High (>55c)34.1%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 7:54:16 PM2 trades$1150 min
7/10/2026, 8:07:34 PM8 trades$900 min
8/3/2026, 3:50:17 PM4 trades$803 min
7/2/2026, 9:45:38 AM2 trades$500 min
5/9/2026, 12:38:24 AM2 trades$460 min
3/27/2026, 3:02:51 PM1 trades$370 min
7/24/2026, 2:36:01 PM3 trades$340 min
7/18/2026, 3:12:01 AM2 trades$320 min
7/29/2026, 8:40:20 PM6 trades$271 min
7/25/2026, 2:11:25 PM5 trades$252 min
7/26/2026, 5:57:51 AM2 trades$250 min
8/5/2026, 3:36:03 AM2 trades$250 min
7/30/2026, 4:47:51 AM4 trades$254 min
7/16/2026, 6:58:50 PM3 trades$244 min
1/9/2026, 8:00:08 AM4 trades$246 min
8/4/2026, 8:46:21 PM1 trades$220 min
7/26/2026, 5:17:13 PM7 trades$224 min
8/4/2026, 2:57:24 PM3 trades$214 min
1/7/2026, 1:09:59 PM1 trades$200 min
5/9/2026, 7:04:27 AM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-14
05-16
06-16
07-11
07-22
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.67/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17.1 / M48.8 / H34.1